18 November 2014

2014 NFL Predictions: Week 12

(AP)
We had a number of surprising results this past week in the NFL, the likes of which have given a nice little shake to the NFL standings. For example, who foresaw the Rams smacking the Broncos coming? Or who saw that the Falcons, sitting comfortably at 4-6, are in first place in the NFC South? Good stuff, indeed.

Here are my NFL picks for Week 12.

Last Week: 6-8
2014: 93-75
Locks: 7-4

Thursday, November 20th
Kansas City Chiefs (7-3) vs. Oakland Raiders (0-10) - NFL Network, 8:25
Are the Raiders really going to go winless? They have been in some competitive contests but they have played their fair role in losing with a number of turnovers and other mistakes. This week they get the misfortune of playing perhaps the hottest team in the AFC in Kansas City. These divisional contests can get funky but the Chiefs are my Lock of the Week.
Chiefs 31 Raiders 7

Sunday, November 23rd
Jacksonville Jaguars (1-9) vs. Indianapolis Colts (6-4) - CBS, 1:00
The Colts looked to me like a team that was ready to take out a team like the Patriots, and they instead got embarrassed defensively. Fortunately for them, they get a great chance to bounce back against a bad Jacksonville squad and at home nonetheless. An easy win for Andrew Luck and friends this week.
Colts 35 Jaguars 12

Tennessee Titans (2-8) vs. Philadelphia Eagles (7-3) - CBS, 1:00
The Eagles were resoundingly crushed by the Packers on the road on Sunday afternoon and while it was largely on the defensive corps, who had no answers for Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay offense, but Mark Sanchez was not as effective as he had been and did not take care of the football that well either. The good news for them is that they get to return home and take on a Tennessee club that has lost four in a row. The Eagles will get back on track.
Eagles 28 Titans 14

Cleveland Browns (6-4) vs. Atlanta Falcons (4-6) - CBS, 1:00
I have no explanation for how the Falcons, at 4-6, are sitting in first place other than that the NFC South is awful. Truly, truly awful. It wasn't even that long ago that people thought that Mike Smith was a dead man walking, and he may still be. They will host a Cleveland club whose record is better than they really are, and they are coming off a bad loss to Houston. Give me the Falcons at home in a funky game.
Falcons 19 Browns 14

Cincinnati Bengals (6-3-1) vs. Houston Texans (5-5) - CBS, 1:00
Speaking of teams whose records are better than they are, the Texans are coming off a surprising win in Cleveland with a quarterback making his first start in Ryan Mallett. And Mallett showed promise but he also showed that he has room to grow. He will get to go up against the Bengals who have been a truly confounding team this year. J.J. Watt will do something and probably everything to give the Texans a shot but I do like Cincinnati.
Bengals 24 Texans 17

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-8) vs. Chicago Bears (4-6) - Fox, 1:00
The Lovie Smith Bowl, if you will. The Buccaneers have been a complete mess but to their credit, they forced a handful of turnovers in Landover en route to an impressive victory over Washington. And for Smith's former team, they got off their schneid and won their first home against the Vikings. If Tampa Bay can force Jay Cutler into some turnovers they can pull off a win but I do think their disappointing pass defense could also lead to Cutler getting some big plays through the air with Alshon Jeffrey and Brandon Marshall. Chicago in a close one.
Bears 23 Buccaneers 20

Green Bay Packers (7-3) vs. Minnesota Vikings (4-6) - Fox, 1:00
I think Packer fans are pretty relaxed now considering their team has scored 108 points these past two games. Aaron Rodgers has been dominating and the team as a whole has looked tremendous. The first time they played the Vikings, they beat them 42-10. Of course, they were also playing Christian Ponder instead of Teddy Bridgewater at quarterback. Green Bay will win easily, but not that easily.
Packers 30 Vikings 16

Detroit Lions (7-3) vs. New England Patriots (8-2) - Fox, 1:00
Picking the Colts over the Patriots looked like a really good pick with the Patriots' first drive, when they rode an unknown back in Jonas Gray to lead a dominant running game to the end zone. The Patriots are rolling and now they get to head back to Foxborough. Now they will take on a tough Detroit club that did just lose to Arizona but still has a very strong defensive unit. But I do like the Pats regardless.
Patriots 23 Lions 14

St. Louis Rams (4-6) vs. San Diego Chargers (6-4) - Fox, 4:05
This will be a weird contest because on one hand, you have got a team in St. Louis that was a real surprise with how they manhandled the Broncos on home. On the other hand, you got a team in San Diego that finally ended their losing streak, but it was in less-than-impressive fashion to, of all teams, Oakland. Remember when the Chargers looked like the best team in the league? I do, and that makes this pick of St. Louis feel even weirder. Shaun Hill showed some game and this Ram defensive line looks great.
Rams 24 Chargers 23

Arizona Cardinals (9-1) vs. Seattle Seahawks (6-4) - Fox, 4:05
Even without Carson Palmer, the Cardinals continue to win as they won a tough contest with the Lions at home on Sunday. Bruce Arians' 'next man up' philosophy has worked wonders in Glendale and their defense continues to cause havoc. They will not be afraid to go to Seattle and win, and against a Seattle that still does not look like they did a year ago. Give me the Cardinals.
Cardinals 21 Seahawks 20

Washington (3-7) vs. San Francisco 49ers (6-4) - CBS, 4:25
This Washington team is in total shambles. They have had their fair share of troubles all season long, particularly at the quarterback position, but to get blown out by the Buccaneers, of all teams, and at home is pretty incomprehensible. Even against a Frisco team that struggled to beat the Giants even when they forced five interceptions, they don't have that much of a chance here.
49ers 20 Washington 6

Miami Dolphins (6-4) vs. Denver Broncos (7-3) - CBS, 4:25
The Dolphins have been two months of really good football. They have lost only two games and both were in the last seconds to the Packers and to the Lions. Ryan Tannehill has been solid, they have gotten production out of the running game and their defense has been stout. They do look like a playoff team, which the Broncos did not look like in their stunning rout loss to St. Louis on the road. It was their second convincing loss in three weeks. However, they are definitely tough at home though and that should be just enough to get on by.
Broncos 34 Dolphins 28

Dallas Cowboys (7-3) vs. New York Giants (3-7) - NBC, 8:30
Dallas comes off the bye week and they get to go to the Meadowlands and face off with a terrible Giants club that has lost five games in a row. Seems like a good gig, right? It is, in fact. The 49ers gave the Giants opportunities to end their losing streak and New York blew it. This team is going nowhere and while they may be able to keep it competitive, Dallas will get the win.
Cowboys 28 Giants 20

Monday, November 24th
New York Jets (2-8) vs. Buffalo Bills (5-5) - CBS, 7:00
Hey, the Jets won a game two weeks ago, prior to their bye week! How about that? I don't think this is the start of a winning streak because I think that the Steelers played their part in sleepwalking throughout the entire contest. New York did play well to their credit and they will get to head to Orchard Park Detroit (thanks to the blizzards that have pounded Western New York) to take on a Bills team that has lost two in a row. Let's not forget though, the last time the Bills won, they embarrassed the Jets in the Meadowlands.
Bills 14 Jets 10

Baltimore Ravens (6-4) vs. New Orleans Saints (4-6) - ESPN, 8:30
Just like the rest of the NFC South, the Saints really make no sense. They may have been the most confounding team in the NFL (although we know there is certainly competition there). The Saints looked awful against Cincinnati after losing in overtime to San Francisco, and both were at home! They get another home game against another team that's been all over the map in Baltimore who is coming off their bye. Before that, they struggled to beat the Titans after losing two in a row. This is a tough one, but can New Orleans really lose three home games in a row? I say yes!
Ravens 30 Saints 28

3 comments:

  1. Love your website but as a Raider fan gotta say so much for your lock of the week..

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  2. Wow what a start to Week 12 but to be fair about 98% of the pundits would have picked KC as well... I think Miami could surprise Denver but if the Broncos are driving with under a minute to go and need a TD I would back them to get it and win. Miami's D has failed twice to prevent game-winning drives from GB and Detroit.

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  3. Detroit can upset the Patriots no doubt

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