19 November 2013

2013 NFL Predictions: Week 12

Just when we thought the Buccaneers may have had a chance at 0-16, they go out and win two games in a row. Now nobody believes that Greg Schiano is going to keep his job because of this, or they are going to win out and get to .500, but at least there is something to live for with this club, I guess. And on that note, here are my picks for week 12.

Last Week: 8-7
2013: 104-56
Locks: 9-2

Thursday, November 21st
New Orleans Saints (8-2) vs. Atlanta Falcons (2-8) - NFL Network, 8:25
It has gone from bad to worse for the Falcons as they have just about died as a team. They have lost four games in a row by an average differential of over 18 points per game. And while they have played Carolina and Seattle, both very strong clubs, and an underrated Cardinals squad, their most recent blowout loss came at the hands of the Buccaneers of all people. So them hosting New Orleans does not seem like a good mix.
Saints 42 Falcons 17

Sunday, November 24th
Pittsburgh Steelers (4-6) vs. Cleveland Browns (4-6) - CBS, 1:00
Their bizarre victory over Baltimore not withstanding a couple weeks ago, Cleveland has not played good football since their impressive win over Buffalo at the beginning of October and their impressive start in Cincinnati fell apart fast as they gave up 31 points in the second quarter and ended up losing by three touchdowns. I think those reports, virruently denied by the club, of Ben Roethlisberger's anger with the direction of the Steelers struck a nerve as they rallied hard to defeat the Lions. I'm feeling a run of sorts for Pittsburgh now.
Steelers 21 Browns 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-8) vs. Detroit Lions (6-4) - Fox, 1:00
As I mentioned in the intro, Tampa Bay has won two games in a row. But they also came against Miami, in the heart of the Jonathan Martin controversy, and Atlanta, a team flailing faster than Nelly's career. So I do not think the Bucs are finally getting their act together and while the Lions fell apart badly in the second half against the Steelers in losing on the road, they will get their act together and get a nice rebound victory. Detroit is my Lock of the Week.
Lions 31 Buccaneers 15

New York Jets (5-5) vs. Baltimore Ravens (4-6) - CBS, 1:00
So I thought it would be a good call to think that the Jets would break through the week on week off cycle after the bye week against an awful Bills team. Yeah, that certainly didn't happen. Geno Smith was a disaster (and he's another guy that has been decent one week and an unmitigated fiasco the other) and the club fell 37-14 to Buffalo. So you know what that bodes for this week? Of course it's lazy analysis and Baltimore is better than they have shown, or at least I would like to think so, but the Jets will pull this one out on the road.
Jets 18 Ravens 14

Minnesota Vikings (2-8) vs. Green Bay Packers (5-5) - Fox, 1:00
You know you have some issues when you are playing the Vikings and we are not sure which team has the better quarterback situation. Scott Tolzien has been put into a rough spot, going from third string to starting as a result of both Aaron Rodgers and Seneca Wallace getting hurt. He has looked good throwing the deep ball (5-5 on passes 25 yards or longer against New York) but he has thrown five interceptions in the past two games. But I think people rushing to want to start Matt Flynn need to calm down and relax Flynn sucks. And fortunately for Green Bay, the Vikings are awful.
Packers 28 Vikings 20

Jacksonville Jaguars (1-9) vs. Houston Texans (2-8) - CBS, 1:00
Nobody was sure why Gary Kubiak replaced Case Keenum with Matt Schaub in the loss to the Raiders on Sunday and while it did not turn the tide, it at least resulted in this confrontation between Andre Johnson and Schaub. So, not good times for the Texans. But will I pick them to lose to the Jaguars, who may have let a win slip away against the Cardinals? I just can't do it, so you know what that means.
Texans 14 Jaguars 9

Carolina Panthers (7-3) vs. Miami Dolphins (5-5) - Fox, 1:00
I won't go into much of Luke Kuechly's bear hug that was obviously pass interference on Rob Gronkowski here (I'm saving that for a later pick) because I do not want it to take anything away from a very impressive win for the Panthers, who now have to be considered one of the top favorites in the NFC without question. And I do not see the strong play subsiding in Miami Gardens this Sunday because I have little faith in the Dolphins even after their victory over the Chargers.
Panthers 31 Dolphins 12

San Diego Chargers (4-6) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (9-1) - CBS, 1:00
The Chiefs played it a little too conservative on Sunday night in Denver but we saw that they did not have the horses the Broncos did and thus they had a relatively hard go at it. It is a good thing that they will play a bizarre Chargers club at home. San Diego probably outplayed Miami on the road but they didn't get the win and as we all know how hard it is to go into Arrowhead and win, they will be the ones in a tough spot in this game.
Chiefs 24 Chargers 14

Chicago Bears (6-4) vs. St. Louis Rams (4-6) - Fox, 1:00
Their game was overshadowed by the weather going on in the Midwest, which lead to their game going through an extended weather delay late in the first quarter, but Chicago, who was down 10-0 after the first quarter, pulled out a nice win in overtime to tie them back for the lead in the NFC North after the collapse by Detroit. If I were them, with Josh McCown looking solid under center, I would be careful of this Rams team that was playing some football in the few weeks before the bye, but I still think they'll win.
Bears 24 Rams 19

Tennessee Titans (4-6) vs. Oakland Raiders (4-6) - CBS, 4:05
As of press time, we do not know if Terrelle Pryor will return from injury or will Matt McGloin, after a rather impressive debut in the victory over Houston, will be under center for the Raiders but I think ultimately, it probably will not matter. Tennessee has one win since September. It is clear they have given up on 2013 and that Mike Munchak is all but gone as the coach. I think that trend will continue this Sunday.
Raiders 15 Titans 9

Indianapolis Colts (7-3) vs. Arizona Cardinals (6-4) - CBS, 4:05
The Cardinals have put themselves right in the NFC playoff race by winning their last three games (and scoring 27 points in each) but those games came against three teams with a combined record of 5-25. The Colts were once thought to be a strong contender in the AFC but in their last three games (where they have gone 2-1), they have not looked as good. Andrew Luck has been quite good all season long and while he probably will get into some sort of a shootout with Carson Palmer, I think he will prevail.
Colts 24 Cardinals 21

Dallas Cowboys (5-5) vs. New York Giants (4-6) - Fox, 4:25
New York has won four games in a row, but is it a sign that they are playing very well all of a sudden or is it a sign of their weak schedule during that stretch. Let's look at the quarterbacks they have played in those games. Christian Ponder and Matt Cassel, Michael Vick and Matt Barkley, a hobbled Terrelle Pryor and then Scott Tolzien last week. None of those quarterbacks looked good at all against the Giants. So I wouldn't necessarily suggest they are poised to make a real run at the playoffs and I think this week, against a much stronger quarterback in Tony Romo, they are vulnerable.
Cowboys 30 Giants 28

Denver Broncos (9-1) vs. New England Patriots (7-3) - NBC, 8:30
Let's be honest, the Patriots did get screwed with the Luke Kuechly non-call. I mean, he was giving Rob Gronkowski a damn hug in the end zone, preventing him from having a chance at the football, and considering a flag was thrown, correctly, and then was picked up, incorrectly, that's a problem. And I know everybody likes to talk about how the Pats get all these advantages from the NFL and all that BS, but without question they should have gotten another chance. Now to this game, it always is fun when Tom Brady and Peyton Manning go at it but while the game is in Foxborough, Brady has shown that he does not have the weapons he once had and he's been a disappointment this year. Give me a big road win for Denver.
Broncos 34 Patriots 27

Monday, November 25th
San Francisco 49ers (6-4) vs. Washington (3-7) - ESPN, 8:30
San Francisco has lost two in a row since their bye week and since their five game winning streak but I think that losing two in a row to teams the caliber of Carolina and New Orleans really is not that bad in the grand scheme of things. I do think this 49ers team may not be the Super Bowl contender so many of us thought before the season, and that five game winning streak came against generally feeble competition. Now fortunately for them, Washington has been playing like crap and them even returning home to Landover will mean much of a difference.
49ers 27 Washington 17


  1. Could you tell me the Week 13 CBS distribution?

  2. He will tell you after Week 12.