25 April 2013

2013 NFL Mock Draft: Final Edition

So here we finally are, the day of the kicking off of the 2013 NFL Draft. To make sure you are all ready to go for all the action tonight, here is my final mock draft. Enjoy.

B-FLO 360 Big Board

1. Kansas City Chiefs - Eric FisherTCentral Michigan
This selection is going to be an offensive tackle, especially as the team cut Eric Winston and they appear to be working on a deal with the Dolphins for Brandon Albert. But even if they do not move Albert, he is only signed for one more year due to being franchised so there is a need for a tackle regardless. The only question is if this will be Joeckel or Eric Fisher. Personally I prefer Joeckel, I simply do not think he has any serious flaws and he has excelled against top competition. However, I do think that Fisher may have a higher ceiling and the reports are coming in like folks like Jay Glazer, Jason La Canfora, Albert Breer, Mike Mayock that Fisher is the guy at one. Supposedly Joeckel has been told that he won't be the first pick.

2. Jacksonville Jaguars - Dion JordanDE/OLBOregon
Personally, I think the offensive tackle rumors are a smokescreen After all, with a fair amount of quality tackles available in free agency, would it really make sense to take a right tackle here with so many other needs that need to be addressed? Particularly, needs on defense and especially on the line with the team finishing last in the league in sacks. Jason Babin was a late addition and he showed he still has some juice but with Jeremy Mincey disappointing and nobody else, the team needs more help at end. Remember when we all thought that Jordan's shoulder injury would make him drop his stock? Well his shoulder checked out just fine and he absolutely tore up the combine across the board. He may still be raw and should put on some weight but his stock is on the rise big time.

3. Oakland Raiders - Sharrif Floyd, DT, Florida
I'm not buying the offensive tackle news for the Raiders either, after all Jared Veldheer is a solid left tackle and again, why would they take a right tackle at this spot? What they do need is reinforcements along the defensive line. They were gashed on the ground multiple times nd finished with a paltry 25 sacks on the season. You know they would be excited to get a player with the caliber of Floyd with this pick. It looks like Floyd can play either the 4-3 or the 3-4, which coach Dennis Allen will appreciate as he likes to feature multiple defensive looks. Floyd is a very disruptive presence from the interior of the line and he showcased tremendous athleticism for a lineman.

4. Philadelphia Eagles - Luke Joeckel, T, Texas A&M
This is where I think the draft is going to get really wild, because new coach Chip Kelly is a wild card. Could they go offensive line and take Fisher? Would they take a quarterback? Defensive end in Ezekiel Ansah? Maybe even Tavon Austin? Rumor has it if one of the top tackles is available they will pounce and with Joeckel available, they will pull the trigger. While I do think Fisher may have a higher ceiling, I do prefer Joeckel a little and I think he will be a stud backside protector in Philadelphia.

5. Detroit Lions - Lane Johnson, T, Oklahoma
It has been a while since the Lions have a good offensive line and there are needs at both tackle spots, particularly at left tackle with the retirement of Jeff Backus as well at right with Gosder Cherilus signing with the Colts. Last year's first round selection Riley Reiff could fill one of the spots but he may end up at guard. While I think Ezekiel Ansah will be very much in the mix, the Lions' coaching staff coached both him and Johnson at the Senior Bowl, I think they will roll the dice with Johnson. Johnson had a solid senior year in Norman but his stock has really risen after tremendous showings in Mobile and Indianapolis as well as the need for tackles.

6. Cleveland Browns - DeMarcus Milliner, CB, Alabama
I'm not going to lie, I do not love Milliner, particularly this high in the draft. After all, while he had a very good career at Alabama, and they have a history of producing quality physical cornerbacks, he was not that much of a playmaker. He only had a handful of interceptions with the Tide. However, he does have the cover skills to be a quality NFL corner, although I do not see him turning into one of those "shutdown corners" as folks like to say. Cleveland has been aggressive in building their defense and I think they would be tempted to pair Milliner with Joe Haden.

7. Arizona Cardinals - Chance Warmack, G, Alabama
The Cardinals are in a tough spot here with the top offensive tackles long gone (and if they take D.J. Fluker here, everybody should be fired immediately). However, they should still look to go offensive line here and take one of the excellent guard prospects here. I am a huge fan of Warmack and I really think he is a multiple Pro Bowl caliber player. In fact, I think he is the second best prospect in this draft which is damn impressive for a guard, even in a week draft like this one. He has got all the tools to be a stud at the next level.

8. Buffalo Bills - Ryan Nassib, QB, Syracuse
Yes, I do not think that Nassib is a better quarterback prospect than Geno Smith (although I see why Jon Gruden would think that Nassib is his top quarterback in this draft, and he knows quarterbacks). And I know this would be a reach. But let's not act like Smith would not be a reach here either, although less of one, and teams will always reach for quarterbacks. Plus, the guy knows the offense of Doug Marrone considering Marrone was his coach in college, he is comfortable in a pro-style, has a solid arm, is accurate and put up good numbers while carrying a club that was not the most talented out there.

9. New York Jets - Barkevious Mingo, DE/OLB, LSU
It appears that Rex Ryan and the Jets are absolutely smitten with Mingo, and it is easy to see why on paper. After all, while he is undersized, his speed and athleticism are really impressive and could make him a stud coming off the edge, which the Jets desperately need. But I have a lot of questions regarding Mingo, most importantly being why was he not more productive at LSU? He never seemed to put all the talent and skills together, and he only had 4.5 sacks this past year in Baton Rouge.

10. Tennessee Titans - Jonathan Cooper, G, North Carolina
Yes, the Titans did sign Andy Levitre to a big contract but they still need a lot of help on their offensive line as the team needs Chris Johnson to round back into form, hence the signing of Shonn Greene as a guy to spell him from time to time, and they really need Jake Locker to develop into a quality NFL quarterback. And as everybody knows, Mike Munchak is a Hall of Fame guard, so he has a fair amount of appreciation for line play. Cooper is extremely athletic for a guard and was tremendous in Chapel Hill. With much of the attention being on Warmack, Cooper also looks to be an excellent player in the NFL.

11. San Diego Chargers - D.J. Fluker, T, Alabama
I last had the Chargers moving up to six to take Lane Johnson but in this scenario, the top tackles are off the board at that point and I do not think they have the resources to move up higher than that. Rumor has it that they are looking hard at Fluker here even as it would be a big reach, he would help out the San Diego line considering how crappy their tackles have been and he can also play guard as well. Fluker is a mauler in the run game but he needs to improve his pass protection.

12. Miami Dolphins - Tyler Eifert, TE, Notre Dame
Now I do think that the Dolphins will be able to pull off the trade with the Chiefs for Brandon Albert, which takes care of their tackle problem. I also think they will look to find a cornerback on the second day, which leaves them to acquire a top weapon for the developing Ryan Tannehill. They did sign Dustin Keller but not only does Keller have injury issues, we have also seen the trend of clubs utilizing multiple tight end sets. While this would be early for a tight end, Eifert is a very solid prospect with excellent receiving skills as well as an underrated blocker.

13. New York Jets (from Tampa) - Tavon Austin, WR, West Virginia
Now that the Darrelle Revis went through, the Jets have another first round selection, Tampa gets the corner they crave and everybody is happy. Meanwhile, the Jets desperately find some weapons for whatever clown is under center because while it would be disingenuous to blame the wideouts for Mark Sanchez's failings, he wouldn't get the job done with Carter and Moss, but it didn't help matters. Austin is the guy everybody wants, absolutely electric with the football in his hands no matter how it gets there.

14. Carolina Panthers - Star Lotulelei, DT, Utah
A reason why I was not as bullish on the Panthers as others were this year was because I knew that the defense was not very good. One key problem with the defense was in the interior of the line, which has not been good since Kris Jenkins left town and they got gashed on the ground multiple times this year, Bryce Brown's performance being first on my mind. Lotulelei saw his draft stock drop after a heart issue was discovered at the Combine but he has tested out to be fine, with the result likely an effect of a virus, and he kicked butt and took names at his Pro Day. And while I think he is the best prospect in the draft, circumstances cause him to slide.

15. New Orleans Saints - Ezekiel Ansah, DE/OLB, BYU
You would have to think that the Saints would be ecstatic if Ansah was available here, especially since so many think he is going in the top ten (hell, Peter King has him going second overall). As we all know, or at least I think we all know, the Saints are shifting defensive schemes to a 3-4 and thus, they have a big need for rushing linebackers. Ansah looks like a good fit. He is part of that new wave of defensive ends that are very raw, Ansah has only been playing football for a few years, but are extremely athletic and have long arms. Either he will be dominant or a bust.

16. St. Louis Rams - Kenny Vaccaro, S, Texas
I think at this juncture, with both of the top guards off the board, it makes sense for the Rams to take Vaccaro, because there is somewhere between zero and no chance he will be around at their second pick (we all know the Cowboys will pounce). Both of their safeties have left the team and quite frankly, neither were really any good in the first place. Vaccaro may not be Ed Reed or Troy Polamalu at the next level but he will be a good player due to his skills at covering tight ends and wideouts in the slots. He has solid range and very good instincts.

17. Pittsburgh Steelers - Jarvis Jones, DE/OLB, Georgia
The Steelers are one of those clubs that do not go wild over the Combine and all that crap, they know quality talent and they draft it. Look at what they did last year, for some reason David DeCastro fell to them because other teams are ridiculous. We all know Jones is a hell of a prospect but because he has some health issues and because he is not a great workout guy, he is available here. But we do know that if he is available here, the Steelers are locked in. They just cut James Harrison and the pass rush disappointed a year ago, so they seem set on finding some fresh legs.

18. Dallas Cowboys - Sheldon Richardson, DT, Missouri
Another one of my favorite prospects is falling, maybe I should reconsider who I like in this draft. Anyways, the Cowboys, who are moving to a 4-3 and have a need at defensive tackle, would be incredibly happy if Richardson was available at 18. Jay Ratliff has been a disappointment since he signed a big contract not that long ago so help is needed and Richardson would be a good fit. I love Richardson, I must say. He has the potential to be that disruptive presence in the interior that every team loves to have, almost like a poor man's Warren Sapp. He is very athletic, moves well, has a great motor and is good against both the run and the pass.

19. New York Giants - Tank Carradine, DE, Florida State
I feel that this pick is going to be a Seminole, but which Seminole I really struggled with. Would it be the corner Xavier Rhodes or one of the ends in Bjoern Werner or Carradine? I think they will roll the dice and take the very talented Carradine. He does come with injury issues, having torn his ACL in November, and he is pretty raw. But we have seen the Giants taken a raw but extremely talented end before and have had a lot of success, just look at Jason Pierre-Paul or Osi Umenyiora. Umenyiora did just sign with Atlanta, however, and he and Justin Tuck were disappointments in 2012, so there is a need for some reinforcements.

20. Chicago Bears - Alec Ogletree, MLB, Georgia
It feels weird to say this, but the Bears really need help at linebacker. Brian Urlacher was cut and while he was not happy about it, one could not deny that his play had really declined as he moves into his older years. Nick Roach, who was a fine starter on the outside but nothing more, signed with the Raiders. If Ogletree is on the board, which they would really love considering many have him going higher, it would be a wise move for Chicago to draft him. Yes, Ogletree has his fair share of character issues, including brilliantly getting a DUI right before the Combine, but he is a beast.

21. Cincinnati Bengals - Eric Reid, S, LSU
We know that the Bengals have a need at safety, after all the play they got at the position this past season was not up to par. But we do know that Kenny Vaccaro is the guy they target, and he of course is not available. However, this is a good draft for safeties and thus the question will be will Cincinnati take Reid, Jonathan Cyprien or Matt Elam. I have heard reports that the club likes Reid and thus I will mock him to them. Reid may not be a great cover guy at the next level but boy does he hits hard. He excels against the run game and should be able to contribute right away.

22. St. Louis Rams (from Washington) - DeAndre HopkinsWRClemson
The Rams just lost Danny Amendola in free agency to the Patriots and that leaves their already weak receiving corps in a bigger hole. The team really has to find some help for Sam Bradford at receiver, particularly in the slot, and the rising Hopkins looks to be a good fit. Hopkins can help stretch the field with his good downfield speed and he also gets good separation on defensive backs. He runs very good routes and knows how to catch, which you would think would be important for a wideout.

23. Minnesota Vikings - Sylvester WilliamsDTNorth Carolina
Kevin Williams may be getting older but he still provides very solid production at tackle and is still the anchor of their defensive line. Unfortunately, the team has absolutely nothing besides him at the tackle position. Addressing the position is a must this offseason and they can do that with their second selection in the first round. Any defensive coordinator will appreciate Williams's versatility along the defensive line and he will also like Williams's stoutness in the run game as well as his underrated pass rush ability.

24. Indianapolis Colts - Datone Jones, DE, UCLA
The Colts' transition to a 3-4 defense did not result in a great pass rush as the team finished tied for 23rd in the league with 32 sacks. Robert Mathis has eight of those sacks and he was the only guy that could consistently apply any pressure on quarterbacks, and Dwight Freeney was recently cut. If the team wants to build a strong 3-4, they need to upgrade their pass rush and by taking Jones, they can add some pass rush to their defensive front. Jones is a very athletic end who has a great motor from the point of the snap and he has a very good first step. He is a little raw but his talent is undeniable.

25. Minnesota Vikings (from Seattle) - Xavier Rhodes, CB, Florida State
Antoine Winfield had a very good run in the Twin Cities with the Vikes, but it was time for him to go because he was a shell of himself. The Vikings had a pretty disappointing secondary this past year, the ninth best statistically in the league, and with their two first round picks, they should look for some reinforcements. Rhodes is another guy that helped himself at the Combine as he overcame fears that he lacked speed with a strong 40-yard dash time of 4.43 seconds and a strong 10-yard split of 1.47 ticks as well. He has impressive size and is physical against not just the pass but against the run as well.

26. Green Bay Packers - Cordarelle PattersonWRTennessee
The Packers have been fortunate to have themselves a pretty deep receiving corps over the years but now with Greg Jennings signed a big-dollar deal with the Vikings, they have a bunch of talented guys like Jordy Nelson, Randall Cobb and James Jones, but none is a No. 1 wideout. Patterson has the capability to be that kind of guy and considering how Ted Thompson loves to take the top player on the board, this pick makes sense. Patterson may be raw but he is the most physically gifted wideout in the draft, with some folks comparing him in that regard to Julio Jones.

27. Houston Texans - Justin HunterWRTennessee
Hunter has seen himself get overshadowed by the man taken right before him, but he is a prospect that has been on the rise of late in his own right. Hunter is a tall wideout at 6'4" that is very good at making catches in traffic. The only question is what happens with his speed at the next level after he tore his ACL a couple years back. He makes sense for the Texans, who have seemingly been in pursuit of a threat at receiver opposite Andre Johnson for many years and they do not seem so willing to bring back free agent Kevin Walter. It is time they used a high selection to fill the need.

28. Denver Broncos - Bjoern Werner, DE, Florida State
There is no way around it, the Elvis Dumervil situation was a fiasco and a complete embarrassment for the organization and his agent. For them to lose a key player on their club because they were late with their paperwork, that's a joke. Now they have a hole in their 4-3 defense and they should look to address it with one of their early selections in the draft. I think Werner's stock may drop a little because he showed in the Combine that he may not be a great fit for a 3-4, even though he is a solid athlete. However, you cannot deny this guy's talent for rushing the passer.

29. New England Patriots - Jamar TaylorCBBoise State
Taylor was a late bloomer in Boise but he is a tough and physical corner that can play both man and zone. He has solid ball skills and helped his cause with solid performances in Mobile and Indianapolis. And it has become clear that the Patriots are interested in him as many have reported that they have been all over him during the pre-draft process. New England seemingly always needs help at cornerback considering how often the team puts up a lot of points and especially with Alfonzo Dennard being found guilty of assaulting a cop.

30. Atlanta Falcons - Desmond TrufantCBWashington
Many folks are looking for the Falcons to go tight end with this selection but with such a big need at cornerback, they have to address that position early and it must be a priority. The team lost both Brent Grimes and Dunta Robinson in free agency, which leaves them with Asante Samuel and some scrubs in the mix. Trufant has made himself some money with brilliant performances in Mobile and Indianapolis and has shown tremendous coverage skills in man-on-man situations.

31. San Francisco 49ers - Matt ElamSFlorida
The 49ers may have themselves one of the elite defenses in football, but they currently have a big need at the safety position. Dashon Goldson, who was very good in 2012, signed with the Buccaneers for big money and opposite him, Donte Whitner struggled last year. They signed Craig Dahl, which means nothing. In a draft deeo with safeties, I highly doubt that Kenny Vaccaro will be available but there are quality prospects on the board, like this one. Cyprien has been making a big jump up many draft boards and he could very well go here. He has tremendous ability in pass coverage and he can cover a lot of ground thanks to his speed. He is also very good in run support as well and he does hit hard.

32. Baltimore Ravens - Keenan Allen, WR, Cal
As I have made clear at the time, I was not exactly a fan of the Ravens trading away Anquan Boldin, especially as the goal of using his money to re-sign key free agents didn't exactly work out considering many guys left town. Ozzie Newsome and friends would be wise to target a wideout early and Allen makes a lot of sense. Yes, Allen's stock has fallen due to a rumored drug test and a slow 40 time but Baltimore has shown, with their selection of Jimmy Smith in last year's draft, that they do not mind taking a risk on a potential character concern and they also are not ones to put huge stock in 40 times. Charlie Campbell draws comparisons to Jaguars great Jimmy Smith, and yes I did just mentioned both Jimmy Smiths.

For even more (and likely better) mocks, check out the database at the great WalterFootball.com.

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