26 December 2012

2012 NFL Week 17 Picks

It seems like just yesterday that the 2012 NFL season was kicking off and now we are coming to the final week of the campaign. Lots of different things at play this week. Some teams already have playoff berths locked up, a few are playing for a chance to get into the postseason while everyone is looking to end their season on a bright spot. Who will win this week? Here are my week 17 picks.
Last Week: 12-4
2012: 148-93

Sunday, December 30
Jacksonville Jaguars (2-13) vs. Tennessee Titans (5-10) - CBS, 1:00
About 15 people will be getting this game and quite frankly, this is a game I would not wish upon anybody. I mean, both of these clubs are truly awful. Yes, the Jaguars nearly fought the Patriots to a standstill this past week but they are still 2-13. And a funny story about the Titans. My father was a little peeved because we would be missing much of the Packers game due to have dinner with my family and my grandmother. I told Flo that that would be the game to miss since the Titans are awful. And thus with a 55-7 final, I was right...for once.
Jaguars 10 Titans 7

New York Jets (6-9) vs. Buffalo Bills (5-10) - CBS, 1:00
About 150 people will be getting this game and quite frankly, this is a game I would not wish upon anybody. I mean, both of these clubs are a mess. The Jets are a hilarious disaster, as proven by the loss last week to the Chargers where Greg McElroy looked like he never faced a pass rush in his life and Rex Ryan forgot how to coach. The way they are playing right now, I wouldn't take them over anybody...except for the Bills, who have completely given up on the season. I think C.J. Spiller has been awesome this season and should be a Pro Bowler but unfortunately for him, the rest of the team blows.
Jets 17 Bills 12

Carolina Panthers (6-9) vs. New Orleans Saints (7-8) - FOX, 1:00
Let me tell you something about Cam Newton, that kid really needs to grow up. I love his passion and his talent is to kill for but he is still way too damn immature, as proven by bumping Jerome Bogar Sunday against the Raiders, for which he is expected to receive a fine. That was simply inexcusable and led to Rich Gannon comparing his behavior to that of Ryan Leaf. Carolina really did not impress me that much against Oakland and while they have been playing well of late overall, I think the Saints have been looking stronger.
Saints 38 Panthers 28

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-9) vs. Atlanta Falcons (13-2) - FOX, 1:00
Remember when the Buccaneers were in the hunt for the postseason? Any time you lose five games in a row, those dreams of the playoffs dash pretty quickly. Now I am a fan of Josh Freeman but he has thrown eight interceptions combined in the past two weeks, which is flat out unacceptable and actually doubled the amount of interceptions he had thrown this season. Look for the Falcons to solidify their standing going into the postseason while the Buccaneers face some serious questions after this collapse.
Falcons 31 Buccaneers 17

Cleveland Browns (5-10) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (7-8) - CBS, 1:00
You know, the Steelers have had a pretty rough year and they will miss the playoffs for only the second time in Mike Tomlin's tenure. Having no running game hurt and losing Ben Roethlisberger for three games to injury certainly did not help matters either. But they do have history on their side in this game. The Browns and Steelers have one of the most storied rivalries in the NFL and one that statistically has been close but Pittsburgh has dominated the series of late. The Browns have not won two consecutive in this series since their first meeting in 2000 and have not won both matchups in a season since 1988. Therefore, I like Pittsburgh.
Steelers 20 Browns 14

Philadelphia Eagles (4-11) vs. New York Giants (8-7) - FOX, 1:00
When the Giants suffer a late-season collapse, they sure do it in style. They have been outscored in their past two games by a 67-14 combined score and their offense has completely caved in on itself in the recent weeks. It's been so bad, I do not think they can get up out of bed this Sunday and I have them losing to an Eagles club that has won once since the last time these clubs met, back in September.
Eagles 24 Giants 20

Baltimore Ravens (10-5) vs. Cincinnati Bengals (9-6) - CBS, 1:00
Finally, the Ravens got their groove back like Stella this past week against the sinking Giants and not only did Joe Flacco get his groove back with a brilliant performance, the Ravens finally decided to run the ball as Ray Rice and Bernard Pierce both ran for over 100 yards. I really think the club really needed a big win like the one they had on Sunday and I think that will give them much needed momentum going into the postseason. And I think that momentum will carry them to a big road win against a fellow playoff club in Cincinnati.
Ravens 28 Bengals 24

Chicago Bears (9-6) vs. Detroit Lions (4-11) - FOX, 1:00
Well Calvin Johnson is going for 2,000 receiving yards after piling enough garbage time yards this past weeks and in prior games to get the season receiving yardage record. And yet, even though the Bears are playing with a playoff berth in the mix and have the secondary to slow down Johnson, I think that not only Johnson will get to 2,000, I think his Lions will pull off the big upset and end their losing skid. The Lions have nothing to lose and will put it all out on the line to knock Chicago out.
Lions 30 Bears 27

Houston Texans (12-3) vs. Indianapolis Colts (10-5) - CBS, 1:00
Great news for the Colts in that Chuck Pagano, who after week 3 was diagnosed with leukemia, has returned to coach the club and take over for Bruce Arians, who has done an awesome job in the interim, leading the Colts back to the postseason. Now I know there is a movement that the Colts will win this one for Pagano but let's be frank, he hasn't coached in months so it could be a little bit of a transition in this game. Also, the Colts have been a disaster against the run of late, allowing over 350 yards on the ground to the Chiefs this past week, so you know Arian Foster is licking his chops.
Texans 30 Colts 20

Oakland Raiders (4-11) vs. San Diego Chargers (6-9) - CBS, 4:25
I feel for the Californians that will have to suffer through this bad boy. It has been a couple of weeks since the Raiders have scored a touchdown and they will be going with either Matt Leinart, who you have to think rues the day he got cut by the Cardinals for Derek Anderson since he'd be their starter, or the immortal Terrelle Pryor will be making his first start, which has the potential to be glorious. At least the Chargers are playing somewhat hard now for Norv Turner.
Chargers 24 Raiders 10

Arizona Cardinals (5-10) vs. San Francisco 49ers (10-4-1) - FOX, 4:25
Speaking of the Cardinals, how great is their quarterback situation? It looks like Brian Hoyer, who the Patriots once thought enough of to put a second-round tender on him a year ago, will be the guy under center and quite frankly, Scottsdale mayor Jim Lane should be the backup. The 49ers are coming off a truly embarrassing loss to the Seahawks in Seattle and so I think they are hungry for a beatdown. San Francisco is my Lock of the Week.
49ers 30 Cardinals 6

Kansas City Chiefs (2-13) vs. Denver Broncos (12-3) - CBS, 4:25
I must say, I do like what the Chiefs tried to do this past week against the Colts at Arrowhead where they decided to pound the rock with Jamaal Charles and Peyton Hillis and they were very successful, as they totaled over 350 yards on the ground. Unfortunately, they still lost and quite frankly, outside of the running backs, this team is nothing more than woeful. And given how strong the Broncos have been for months, the season will not end like how the Chiefs want it too, unfortunately.
Broncos 31 Chiefs 15

Miami Dolphins (7-8) vs. New England Patriots (11-4) - CBS, 4:25
It certainly has not been an easy season for rookie coach Joe Philbin, rookie quarterback Ryan Tannehill and the Miami Dolphins but they have fought hard this year and look to end the season strong at 8-8 with an upset of the hated Patriots. And while I do think they will ultimately come up short this Sunday in Foxborough, I do think it will be a good game throughout. So there.
Patriots 31 Dolphins 28

St. Louis Rams (7-7-1) vs. Seattle Seahawks (10-5) - FOX, 4:25
I do not think you could find anybody that is playing as well as the Seattle Seahawks are right now. After all, when you beat your past three opponents by an averaged score of 50-10, that's pretty damn good, no matter who you play, especially considering they just smoked the 49ers, who are very strong in their own right. This Rams club has been feisty all season long but I don't think their offense is nearly strong enough to move the ball on an elite Seattle defense.
Seahawks 35 Rams 23

Green Bay Packers (11-4) vs. Minnesota Vikings (9-6) - FOX, 4:25
It really is tough to pick against the Packers for a bunch of reasons. First off, they have been playing excellent football of late, winning four in a row and nine of ten. Second, their defense has been playing really well, making this club look like possibly a stronger Super Bowl club than last year's. Third, they are starting to get healthy again and lastly, they get to showcase their wide-open offense indoors. But I think the Vikings will clinch a playoff spot with a big home win. The Pack had no answer for Adrian Peterson the last time they played and I don't think they will have won plus the Vikings are playing good football right now.
Vikings 29 Packers 27

Dallas Cowboys (8-7) vs. Washington Redskins (9-6) - NBC, 8:20
I do find this to be a somewhat tough game to pick because I could really see both clubs coming out on top. Tony Romo has been playing the best football of his career of late and we have seen how bad the Redskins are against the pass. Robert Griffin III has been sensational all season long throwing and running and FAU product Alf Morris has been a revelation this season in the backfield and the Cowboys have been awful these past few weeks on defense. Honestly, I could go either way but I still do not have the confidence in the Cowboys in these types of games.
Redskins 42 Cowboys 38

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