04 December 2012

2012 NFL Week 14 Picks

In what makes to be a huge game in regards to the AFC playoff picture and probably will play a role in who gets homefield advantage, Arian Foster and the Houston Texans will head on up to Foxborough and take on the New England Patriots. We've got the top two seeds in the conference going at it on Monday night, who will win?

Last Week: 9-7
2012: 117-76

Thursday, December 6
Denver Broncos (9-3) vs. Oakland Raiders (3-9) - NFL Network, 8:20
Oakland has been falling apart at the seems as they have now lost five in a row and seven out of nine. Meanwhile, the Broncos are kicking ass, as they have won seven in a row. When these clubs met earlier this season, the Broncos won by 31. Sounds like a lock, right? Yes, but I think will be very close because nobody seems to play well on Thursdays.
Broncos 31 Raiders 28

Sunday, December 9
St. Louis Rams (5-6-1) vs. Buffalo Bills (5-7) - FOX, 1:00
St. Louis has really been all over the place, looking very good at times, looking awful at others. The last time they fought the 49ers into overtime, they lost convincingly the next week to a team in the AFC East. Will history repeat itself? Actually, I think lightning will not strike twice because I don't have a lot of confidence in this Buffalo club. I think Steven Jackson will have a big game and the Rams will eke out a win in Orchard Park.
Rams 19 Bills 17

Philadelphia Eagles (3-9) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-6) -FOX, 1:00
You know, the Eagles really had a great shot to defeat the Cowboys on Sunday. After all, the Cowboys were all over the place and Philadelphia really played pretty well. But of course, they didn't win and that is because their defense has officially fallen apart. Meanwhile, the Buccaneers didn't play all that great against a rolling Denver squad, and were in it throughout. I would love to pick the Eagles, for the most part, but I can't see it happening. But, as usual, watch me be wrong.
Buccaneers 21 Eagles 14

Atlanta Falcons (11-1) vs. Carolina Panthers (3-9) - FOX, 1:00
I know the Chiefs had the emotions with the tragedies that conspired on Saturday morning in Kansas City but the Panthers allowed Brady Quinn to go 19 of 23 and a pair of touchdowns. I'm sorry, but if they are struggling to slow down Brady Quinn, what can we expect from them against Matt Ryan? Cam Newton will have his hands full once again but he isn't actually Superman.
Falcons 35 Panthers 21

Dallas Cowboys (6-6) vs. Cincinnati Bengals (7-5) - FOX, 1:00
I have been loving what the Bengals are doing right now as they return back from California on a four-game winning streak. And while it was not pretty against the Chargers, they were able to get the job done by rallying for 10 late in the fourth quarter to get the win. And you know what? The Cowboys are really not that good, and they only won because the Eagles are trash on defense. I like the Bengals by more than you would expect.
Bengals 30 Cowboys 20

Chicago Bears (8-4) vs. Minnesota Vikings (6-6) - FOX, 1:00
Any worries with the Bears as they are 1-3 in their last four? I certainly don't think so, especially as they take on the Vikings for the second time in three weeks. You think Chicago forgot how they smoked Minnesota two weeks ago? And you certainly know that they are licking their chops with how awful Christian Ponder has been of late, even wiping away ridiculous performances by Adrian Peterson. Not a good sign for the Vikes.
Bears 23 Vikings 9

New York Jets (5-7) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (2-10) - CBS, 1:00
Chad Henne finally came back to earth and we finally realized he was still Chad Henne as he was awful on Sunday in Orchard Park as the Jags got smoked by the Bills. Meanwhile for the other club, was it just me or did the Jets look completely different once Rex Ryan finally pulled the plug on Mark Sanchez for not Tim Tebow but rather Greg McElroy. I think the Jets will keep it up against a team that has nothing going for them on offense.
UPDATE: Ryan for some reason is deciding to stick with Sanchez. I will change my pick accordingly.
Jaguars 9 Jets 7

Kansas City Chiefs (2-10) vs. Cleveland Browns (4-8) - CBS, 1:00
As mentioned earlier, I know the Chiefs were full of emotions on Sunday afternoon but you cannot seriously expect Brady Quinn to complete 83% of his passes. That's just unsustainable over more than one game. The Chiefs will fall back to what they have been this season. And the Browns are looking good of late so give me them.
Browns 10 Chiefs 6

Tennessee Titans (4-8) vs. Indianapolis Colts (8-4) - CBS, 1:00
Somebody explain to me how the Colts beat the Lions last week after losing by 12 midway in the fourth? How did they lose to the Jets by 26? Regardless, Andrew Luck keeps finding a way to get it done even when he is having an off game, which is how you know if you have a (budding) elite quarterback. Tennessee is still a mess, especially on defense where they can't seem to get a stop. Give me Indianapolis.
Colts 27 Titans 17

San Diego Chargers (4-8) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (7-5) - CBS, 1:00
How about what the Steelers did on Sunday against the Ravens with the immortal (literally) Charlie Batch? That was impressive stuff, and now imagine what they will do with Ben Roethlisberger back this Sunday? Now while I thought that Roethlisberger would return this past week, I do think he will this Sunday. Either way, the Chargers suck and they are not good on the road. Bada bing.
Steelers 20 Chargers 7

Baltimore Ravens (9-3) vs. Washington Redskins (6-6) - CBS, 1:00
I thought Mike Shanahan said the Redskins were essentially playing for 2013 during a three-game losing streak? Hell, they may find themselves in the playoffs as they are now on a three-game winning streak against divisional opponents and they sit only one game behind the Giants after taking them out in Landover last night. How could you not love what Robert Griffin is doing under center, and he's doing it mostly through the air. Baltimore struggled against Charlie Batch last week and I think they are due for another letdown.
Redskins 31 Ravens 24

Miami Dolphins (5-7) vs. San Francisco 49ers (8-3-1) - CBS, 4:05
Maybe the Rams are San Francisco's krptonite as the 49ers are 0-1-1 against them, including the loss on Sunday. Can somebody explain that to me? Either way, I do still think that the Niners are the team the beat in the NFC so I am not worried about them, even when they lost when they are my lock. And I am especially not too concerned with them at home against the Dolphins, who have lost four of five and have not been able to run or throw the ball.
49ers 24 Dolphins 13

Arizona Cardinals (4-8) vs. Seattle Seahawks (7-5) - FOX, 4:25
When you play worse than the guy who gets benched, that's a problem and yet that was the case for Cardinals rookie Ryan Lindley as he went a heart 10 for 31 and had a beautiful 28 passer rating, bringing his season rating to 40.4. Yeah, that's really awful and there is no way he should start but does Ken Whisenhunt goes to a not completely healthy Kevin Kolb or an ineffective John Skelton? Don't they still wish they had Matt Leinart? That's a legitimate question, by the way. Seattle is my Lock of the Week.
Seahawks 20 Cardinals 2

New Orleans Saints (5-7) vs. New York Giants (7-5) - FOX, 4:25
That was a classic Giants loss last night. They love nothing more to give one away a game after getting a big win. This will be a challenging game for New York considering the Saints have an elite passing game and the Giants are not a great home team (of course I said this two weeks ago with the Packers game) but at least the Saints have a good offensive line. But it is also pretty hard to bet against the Giants in December so give me New York in a squeaker.
Giants 35 Saints 32

Detroit Lions (4-8) vs. Green Bay Packers (8-4) - NBC, 8:20
The Packers' last two wins, against this Lions team three weeks ago and against Minnesota, have been due to crappy quarterback performances (just check out Christian Ponder's statline). Therefore, I think they are ripe for an upset this week against a Lions team with no hope of the playoffs and therefore nothing to lose. Aaron Rodgers continues to get pounded on a regular basis since the Packers' line has been ravaged by injuries and an aggressive Detroit front four will take advantage.
Lions 27 Packers 24

Monday, December 10
Houston Texans (11-1) vs. New England Patriots (9-3) - ESPN, 8:30
This is a game that I have been wrestling back and forth (not literally, of course) because both teams are looking very strong as they come to Massachusetts with six-game winning streaks. I am leaning towards the Pats because they are actually very good against the run. Considering that Arian Foster is the focal point of the Texan offense and if the Texans have to get in a shootout with a guy like Tom Brady, you do not win many of those. Not to mention that New England is very good in protecting Brady, which may neatralize Houston's awesome pass rush.
Patriots 28 Texans 27

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