13 November 2012

2012 NFL Week 11 Picks

Is this the best rivalry in the NFL? Whenever the Baltimore Ravens and the Pittsburgh Steelers go at it, it is always fun and always has implications not just in the AFC North, but in the conference as a whole. Can the Steelers snap the two-game losing streak to their rivals or will the Ravens solidify their division lead? Hope about the other games this week? Here are my week eleven selections.
Last Week: 8-5
2012: 85-62

Thursday, November 15
Miami Dolphins (4-5) vs. Buffalo Bills (3-6) - NFL Network, 8:20
My goodness, that performance by Miami against the Titans last week was utterly atrocious across the board. Now, a club that had promise after dominating the Jets has lost two games in a row and to lose to a team that had just gotten embarrassed by the Bears in Tennessee. For Buffalo, let's be honest, they blow, but they have been pretty competitive in their last three games against Tennessee, Houston and New England. I like the Bills to end their three-game losing streak against the falling Dolphins.
Bills 20 Dolphins 17

Sunday, November 18
Jacksonville Jaguars (1-8) vs. Houston Texans (8-1) - CBS, 1:00
I mean, this really has the makings of a disaster. I mean, I like to mix it up with my picks and my locks but there are ever-so-often slam dunks that if you pick something else, you look like a fooligan. I really cannot think of a way that the Jaguars can win this game, with how awful Blaine Gabbert is playing, the lack of a running game plus their defense has been subpar as well. Houston is my Lock of the Week.
Texans 30 Jaguars 0

Cincinnati Bengals (4-5) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (1-8) - CBS, 1:00
Yeah, the Chiefs are bad. Sure they took the Steelers to overtime but hey, when you are going against Byron Leftwich for most of the second half, that speaks for itself. Meanwhile, the Bengals bounced back from a four-game losing streak with a nice beatdown of the New York Giants featuring four touchdown passes from Andy Dalton. Now I would love to pick the Chiefs (or would I?), I think the Bengals have found what works for them and will take a road win.
Bengals 28 Chiefs 13

Cleveland Browns (2-7) vs. Dallas Cowboys (4-5) - CBS, 1:00
It is a shame that this is the game that much of the country will see in this window. The Cowboys are inconsistent as always and the Browns are mediocre as always. I do think the Cowboys have some momentum with taking out a listless Philadelphia team last week on the road where they have the advantage against a team that has much less talent.
Cowboys 23 Browns 10

New York Jets (3-6) vs. St. Louis Rams (3-5-1) - CBS, 1:00
Let's be honest, ties are awful, no matter how you quantify it. But for the Rams, it might as well have been a victory, for them to pushing the 49ers to the brink at the Stick. Jeff Fisher has instilled a competitiveness in this club that sorely needed it as well as a little bit of some swaggar, particularly on defense. And fortunately for them, the Jets are a freakshow. Somebody explain to me how in the world is that scrub Mark Sanchez still starting?
Rams 13 Jets 9

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-4) vs. Carolina Panthers (2-7) - FOX, 1:00
If you told me that past the halfway part of the 2012 campaign that the Buccaneers would be very much in the playoff mix in the NFC, I would have not believe you. I love the job that Greg Schiano has done and I believe his players have responded to his take no crap attitude, particularly after he got ravaged by the Giants apologists in the media after "kneelgate." Josh Freeman has looked very good, Doug Martin has been sensational running the ball and Vincent Jackson has surprisingly looked worthy of that huge deal he signed. And all in all, the Panthers are garbage so there you have it.
Buccaneers 24 Panthers 10

Arizona Cardinals (4-5) vs. Atlanta Falcons (8-1) - FOX, 1:00
The Falcons have finally lost and what a surprise, but we will not have an undefeated team this year, or even one that came that close. That said, I think the Falcons will come out inspired and get a big win. The Cardinals are falling apart, they can't move the ball on offense and while I love their defense, those guys can only do so much to carry the club.
Falcons 30 Cardinals 19

Philadelphia Eagles (3-6) vs. Washington Redskins (3-6) - FOX, 1:00
You know, I really love to pick games like these with two teams heading south quickly. The Eagles come in with five straight losses and appear set with a new quarterback under center in Nick Foles. The Redskins have lost three in a row, the last to a lowly Panthers club, and always seem to struggle at home. All that said, I have no confidence in Andy Reid to rally the horses and from what I saw from Foles last week, I'm not sold just yet.
Redskins 21 Eagles 14

Green Bay Packers (6-3) vs. Detroit Lions (4-5) - FOX, 1:00
You know, it is weird to consider to be a rivalry from the standpoint of how awful the Lions were for most of this century but that said, both clubs are going to throw the ball and throw it often as both have elite quarterbacks are are not that fond of running the rock. Therefore, the difference will be who can force turnovers and I think Green Bay has a clear advantage there as Matt Stafford has been inconsistent with his ball security, the Packers' secondary is known for their ball-hawking skills and will pressure Stafford into mistakes.
Packers 49 Lions 45

New Orleans Saints (4-5) vs. Oakland Raiders (3-6) - FOX, 4:05
Well the Raiders really came to play last week in Baltimore, giving up 55 points and losing by five touchdowns. Nice. And now they have a really bad matchup in that their second-rate secondary will take on a Drew Brees-led passing game that is scorching right now. Carson Palmer will put up some decent numbers as he always does but they will lose once again.
Saints 38 Raiders 24

San Diego Chargers (4-5) vs. Denver Broncos (6-3) - CBS, 4:25
Norv Turner really lost his lunch after the tough loss to the Buccaneers as he should have, because his team played like crap, with their only two wins since week two coming against the high-powered Kansas City Chiefs. It does appear that Peyton Manning and the Broncos are really getting into their groove and I expect this game to be won by them handily. And we can only hope that Philip Rivers does something like this again.
Broncos 35 Chargers 20

Indianapolis Colts (6-3) vs. New England Patriots (6-3) - CBS, 4:25
As I mentioned in the open, this has all the makings of a sexy quarterback matchup featuring the old cowboy (Tom Brady) and the young gun (Andrew Luck). Let me tell you something, I'm not buying the Patriots this year. Yes I know they're in control of a division that has fallen flat on its face and I have the utmost respect for Bill Belichick but this team is just not all that impressive. It will be a shootout but I'm feeling an upset so give me the kid to stun the league.
Colts 35 Patriots 31

Baltimore Ravens (7-2) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (6-3) - NBC, 8:20
By far the biggest key to this game is Ben Roethlisberger and his shoulder injury. The injury has said to be "significant" and "unusual" with most reports saying that it was seperated, with a chance of it only being sprained. I do not expect to see him go on Sunday night and that means that the legend himself, Byron Leftwich, will get the start. Factor that with a Ravens team coming off an utter destruction against Oakland last week and I believe that John Harbaugh is licking his chops.
Ravens 28 Steelers 17

Monday, November 19
Chicago Bears (7-2) vs. San Francisco 49ers (6-2-1) - ESPN, 8:30
I really think that Jay Cutler suffered a concussion on Sunday night against Houston and I do not believe that he will start this week, nor should he with an injury like that. Chicago is 1-6 in games where Cutler does not play or leave early and while Jason Campbell may be a fine fellow, he's a mediocre quarterback at best. Plus, I think this 49ers squad has something to prove after that tie against St. Louis.
49ers 24 Bears 14

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