06 November 2012

2012 NFL Week 10 Picks

The game of the week will be in Soldier Field. Both clubs come in with identical 7-1 records and two of the elite defenses in the National Football League. And in fact, it is a matchup of what I predicted to be a Super Bowl matchup. On one side, the Houston Texans. On the other, Brian Urlacher, Julius Peppers and the Chicago Bears. Who will win this week in the NFL?
Last Week: 12-2
2012: 77-57

Thursday, November 8
Indianapolis Colts (5-3) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (1-7) - NFL Network, 8:20
How about Andrew Luck last week, setting an NFL game record for passing yards as a rookie quarterback.  He also tied a record for most 300 yards by a rookie quarterback, a certain former Colt named Manning. He should have the Colts on the road for a fourth consecutive victory against a Jaguars club that can't move the football and struggles against the pass.
Colts 24 Jaguars 13

Sunday, November 11
Detroit Lions (4-4) vs. Minnesota Vikings (5-4) - FOX, 1:00
I think this will be a classic, Black-and-Blue division matchup, one that makes you wish it was played at the old Metropolitan Stadium out in Bloomington. And with those kind of physical, low scoring games where I think the game will be won on the ground and not through the air, I have to give the advantage to Adrian Peterson, who has been awesome this season, and the Vikings.
Vikings 13 Lions 10

New York Giants (6-3) vs. Cincinnati Bengals (3-5) - FOX, 1:00
You would think the Bengals would have a nice matchup against the Giants, considering their passing game and the fact that the Giants, especially of late, have been pretty subpar against the pass. But what kills Cincinnati is how they cannot run the ball with the 26th best rushing attack in the league. New York will come out expecting pass and since the Bengals will not be able to make them pay for it, the Giants will win.
Giants 28 Bengals 21

Atlanta Falcons (8-0) vs. New Orleans Saints (3-5) - FOX, 1:00
And the Falcons just keep on choogling as they have gone through half of their season sans a loss. Will their first loss of the season come this week? I think so, in fact. Yes the Saints could not stop my grandmother on defense but you know what? Drew Brees will come out swinging, the Superdome will be rocking and the Saints will be playing like a team that is dying for a huge win.
Saints 31 Falcons 28

Tennessee Titans (3-6) vs. Miami Dolphins (4-4) - CBS, 1:00
That loss against the Chicago Bears last Sunday was just so demoralizing, seemingly, for the Titans. It is always tough to lose games in the first quarter. Now your weird owner is putting everyone on notice. So that means that you come out and play strong, or you come out flat and get smacked. I'm feeling the latter, and a solid reason is a solid Dolphins club, that will be able to tear apart a disappointing Titans defense. And maybe Reggie Bush will flash some more unbelievable moves.
Dolphins 21 Titans 10

San Diego Chargers (4-4) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-4) - CBS, 1:00
Doug Martin kicked some ass and took some names against the Raiders this past Sunday, totaling 251 yards on the ground and four touchdowns. By any metric, that's awesome stuff but unfortunately for him and his club, the Chargers are very good against the run, top five in the league. And the only thing the Chargers are good at on offense, throwing the ball, is the one thing Tampa Bay is terrible at defending. I like San Diego.
Chargers 20 Buccaneers 17

Oakland Raiders (3-5) vs. Baltimore Ravens (6-2) - CBS, 1:00
You know, I thought the Ravens were ripe for an upset last Sunday in Cleveland. Now, as you would expect, I was wrong but the Ravens really did not look all that impressive either, even though they won by ten. That said, I like them against the Raiders because I think offensive coordinator Cam Cameron will dial up Ray Rice's number a whole lot, considering what Oakland allowed Doug Martin to do to them.
Ravens 17 Raiders 6

Denver Broncos (5-3) vs. Carolina Panthers (2-6) - CBS, 1:00
Carolina got a much needed victory last Sunday in Landover and should get some more confidence, which  they really needed after a rough couple of weeks. That said, let's not try to they looked all that impressive, because they didn't. Cam Newton will struggle this week against a solid Broncos pass rush led by Von Miller and my friend Elvis Dumervil and Peyton Manning will light up Carolina's average at best secondary.
Broncos 28 Panthers 16

Buffalo Bills (3-5) vs. New England Patriots (5-3) - CBS, 1:00
Remember when the Bills put a legitimate scare into the Patriots a month ago? And do you also remember when they absolutely fell apart in incredible fashion and fall into a blowout loss? God love the Bills, they always suck, but they sure make it exciting. The Patriots went into the bye with a huge win over the Rams in London and I think Bill Belichick took the week off to clear up any chinks in the armor. I like New England in this one, because I think Tom Brady will go to town and back through the air.
Patriots 35 Bills 17

New York Jets (3-5) vs. Seattle Seahawks (5-4) - CBS, 4:05
It has been well documented the struggles of the Jets on the offensive side of the ball. Mark Sanchez is, well, Mark Sanchez, the receivers are great at not catching the football, the line has been pretty disappointing and Shonn Greene has not had a lot of success running the ball. Add all of that in a bowl, mix in an excellent Seahawks defense, and I do not see a whole lot of success by the Jets on offense.
Seahawks 17 Jets 9

St. Louis Rams (3-5) vs. San Francisco 49ers (6-2) - FOX, 4:25
It is never a good thing when you go into a bye week by getting dismantled but that is what the Rams have to deal with this week. They got scorched through the air by Tom Brady, they got burned on the ground by Stevan Ridley; it was not a good effort by the defense. Now I think they are a decent team, a competitive club, but I do worry about that defense against a balanced attack like the 49ers.
49ers 24 Rams 12

Dallas Cowboys (3-5) vs. Philadelphia Eagles (3-5) - FOX, 4:25
Nothing like a disappointment bowl with two coaches likely to get axed after the season. Both of these clubs have their fair share of talent, but also have their fair share of flaws, most notably a pair of quarterbacks that love to give the football to the other team. Although Tony Romo will make it interesting, as he always does, but this Philadelphia is not stopping anybody right now on defense, no matter who their coordinator is.
Cowboys 30 Eagles 20

Houston Texans (7-1) vs. Chicago Bears (7-1) - NBC, 8:20
For me, this is a really tough game to pick (obviously) considering these clubs really do not have any major flaws (although that Chicago offensive line always worries me). Both have tremendous defense and quality, and balanced, offensive attacks as well as the fun fact that both have lost to Green Bay. All that said, I like the Bears this week because I think the difference will come in their extraordinarily opportunistic defense, which is making turnovers like Gallagher smashes watermelons.
Bears 27 Texans 24

Monday, November 12
Kansas City Chiefs (1-7) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (5-3) - ESPN, 8:30
The Chiefs are a disaster, no ifs, ands or buts. They are playing terribly right now and are not going to beat anybody anytime soon with how they are playing. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh is playing pretty well and coming off a nice comeback victory over the Giants. You know this is coming, the Steelers are my Lock of the Week.
Steelers 34 Chiefs 9

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