25 September 2012

2012 NFL Week 4 Picks

There are three clubs that are 3-0, and two of them will not surprise you. The Houston Texans were thought to be an elite club in the AFC and the Atlanta Falcons are not a surprising 3-0 club either. But how about them Arizona Cardinals? Who thought they would be 3-0 at this juncture after a tight victory over Seattle, a lucky escape in Foxborough and a beatdown of the Eagles at home? Not too many, I tell you.

Will those three make it 4-0? What else will happen this week? My week four picks, coming at you.
Last Week: 6-10 (Yes I did technically get the Packers-Seahawks game wrong)
2012: 21-27

Thursday, September 27th
Cleveland Browns vs. Baltimore Ravens (NFL Network, 8:30)
Brandon Weeden took steps forward in week 2 and while he was okay against the Bills, he did take a little step back, which is expected of a rookie quarterback. But this offense is still a little lackluster and I do not think they quite have the firepower to go up against a Ravens offense that is rolling right now. Weird things happen in AFC North games on Thursday nights, but not here.
Ravens 28 Browns 13

Sunday, September 30th
Seattle Seahawks vs. St. Louis Rams (FOX, 1:00)
Say what you want about the fiasco at the end of the game on Monday night (I know I have), Seattle came out with the victory and a huge reason why was their pass rush being so dominant, with eight sacks in the first half. The Rams have improved this year but their offensive line still is a source of concern, giving up six sacks to the Bears last week. This should be a good game but a strong Seattle pass rush will prove the difference.
Seahawks 17 Rams 13

Carolina Panthers vs. Atlanta Falcons (FOX, 1:00)
Are the Atlanta Falcons the top team in the NFC? While 49ers fans can make a strong case for their club, the Falcons do look like a real contender for the Super Bowl. Matt Ryan has been tremendous, the wideouts have been pretty solid and the defense has been looking good as well. The Panthers were just awful on Thursday night and Cam Newton made too many poor throws so I don't have much confidence in them.
Falcons 30 Panthers 14

Minnesota Vikings vs. Detroit Lions (FOX, 1:00)
The Lions are expecting Matthew Stafford, who injured his hamstring in Sunday's overtime loss to Tennessee, to play but I really am not certain how much it will matter. Detroit has looked pretty inconsistent thus far and I am feeling the Vikes with the road upset. Whoever will play quarterback will throw for a bunch of yards but also get hit a lot. I've been very impressed with Christian Ponder's improvement and Adrian Peterson should have a quality game as well.
Vikings 17 Lions 14

San Francisco 49ers vs. New York Jets (FOX, 1:00)
If the Dolphins had an offense, the Jets would be 1-2 and on a two-game losing streak. The running game has been nonexistent, Mark Sanchez continues to make crucial mistakes and seems rattled a little bit by Tim Tim Tebow, who has been useless, plus the wideouts haven't been helping anyone. And the defense has been inconsistent and suffered a huge blow with the loss of Darrelle Revis for the season, leaving offenses to pick at Kyle Wilson, who Jason Cole noted has a reputation of "a guy who is soft and just happy to be in the NFL." Yes it is tough for West Coast teams to be playing at 10:00 local time but San Fran is hungry after a really disappointing loss to Minnesota.
49ers 24 Jets 9

San Diego Chargers vs. Kansas City Chiefs (CBS, 1:00)
Kansas City's rally from 18 down in the third quarter to beat the Saints in the Superdome was something great to watch. Now the Chiefs got that much-needed win they wanted and boy did Jamaal Charles play a huge part as he rushed for 233 yards, including a 91 yard run for a touchdown. San Diego relies on Philip Rivers to move the football but he looked mediocre last Sunday, throwing a pair of interceptions in their blowout loss to Atlanta. I think KC will control the football and capitalize on the momentum from that thrilling win.
Chiefs 20 Chargers 17

Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans (CBS, 1:00)
Jake Locker looked pretty impressive in the wild overtime win over the Lions in Nashville on Sunday, making some tremendous throws and not making mistakes. He will have to be flawless in order for the team to defeat the Texans, particularly he is getting no help from Chris Johnson, who has had to fight throw some truly pitiful run blocking. The Texans have a great defense and a sound running game and they will control the clock and force Locker in a couple of mistakes.
Texans 35 Titans 24

New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills (CBS, 1:00)
Two tough losses in a row for the Patriots, particularly so on Sunday night, a game in which they should have won in Baltimore. So you know they are looking for a rebound win this Sunday in Orchard Park. Now I would have gone with the Bills at home, but then C.J. Spiller suffered a shoulder injury in Cleveland and looks like he will be out this Sunday. So now I am feeling New England in a close one.
Patriots 24 Bills 20

Miami Dolphins vs. Arizona Cardinals (CBS, 4:05)
I know it was a game on Sunday in Miami Gardens, but if the Dolphins had an offense, they would have won. But of course, if the Jets had an offense, it would not have been a game. So while I do think Ryan Tannehill is making some progress, he is still a raw rookie quarterback. Plus, while it looks like Reggie Bush will be playing on Sunday, he probably won't be 100% and he is such a huge part of their offense. This Cardinals defense has been awesome this year and looked great against Philadelphia on Sunday afternoon. I'm buying into this Cardinals club and I think they are my Lock of the Week (mind you, my lock lost last week).
Cardinals 20 Dolphins 6

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (CBS, 4:05)
Jay Gruden called a tremendous game in Landover, even grabbing a sweet play from the bag of tricks on the very first player, when Mohamed Sanu threw a 73-yard touchdown to A.J. Green. Even as the running game has been nonexistent, Andy Dalton has been throwing the ball really well of late and the team may be getting their act together. Jacksonville will keep the game close by going to Maurice Jones-Drew often but it will not be enough.
Bengals 27 Jaguars 16

Oakland Raiders vs. Denver Broncos (CBS, 4:05)
That Raiders game against Pittsburgh was something else as they were down 10 going into the fourth but they rallied for the victory behind the arm of Carson Palmer and the legs of Darren McFadden. The defense is still something to be worried about and I think they will get torched in the air by Peyton Manning. This will be a classic AFL high-scoring showdown in Denver, but I give the slight edge to the home team.
Broncos 42 Raiders 38

Washington Redskins vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (FOX, 4:15)
They surely gave the Cowboys a go at it, but Tampa Bay really struggled to move the ball much of the game, particularly with how inconsistent Josh Freeman was throwing the ball. I think their offensive inconsistency will hurt themselves against a team that can move the ball like the Skins can, even after their disappointing loss at home to the Bengals.
Redskins 23 Buccaneers 13

New Orleans Saints vs. Green Bay Packers (FOX, 4:15)
Did Green Bay get robbed? Unquestionably, yes. But they have to move on, or else this season will go nowhere. Speaking of seasons going nowhere, the Saints have been a disaster, with that collapse against the Chiefs showing how much that team is a mess. And their defense, goodness, what a disaster. Now while the Packers have not been great on offense, and their offensive line is a major concern going forward, but they should rip apart a disastrous New Orleans defense and take out their frustrations on them.
Packers 35 Saints 24

New York Giants vs. Philadelphia Eagles (NBC, 8:20)
New York looked really impressive in Carolina on Thursday night, Eli Manning was great, Andre Brown ran the ball pretty well, Ramses Barden has a strong outing catching the rock and the defense forced Cam Newton into many mistakes. Philly looked terrible in Glendale on Sunday, struggling to move the football all game and shooting themselves in the foot when they did. I had a feeling that the Eagles' mistakes would come back to catch them and it did in Arizona's blowout victory. The Eagles will rebound but I'm leaning Giants.
Giants 27 Eagles 21

Monday, October 1st
Chicago Bears vs. Dallas Cowboys (ESPN, 8:30)
For the second straight week, the Bears had a subpar offensive output as they were not great at all against the Rams, fortunately their defense was tremendous in stifling the Rams' attack. That will happen again as they take on the top statistical defense in the NFL in that of the Cowboys. But will the Cowboys be able to move the ball against the Bears? I say no. I give the edge to Chicago as I think they will control the clock with the running game and keep the ball out of Tony Romo's hands.
Bears 12 Cowboys 10

No comments:

Post a Comment