08 November 2011

2011 NFL Week 10 Picks

As usual, the Patriots and the Jets will be facing off to determine who has control of the AFC East. But both teams are coming into Sunday night's showdown in East Rutherford going in different directions, with New York the winners of three in a row while New England has lost two in a row. Who will win and gain momentum for the stretch run? It's time for my week 10 predictions.
Last Week: 7-7
2011: 78-51

Nov. 10

Oakland Raiders at San Diego Chargers (NFL Network, 8:20)
Both of these AFC West rivals have been so maddeningly inconsistent thus far in 2011, as with the rest of the division  And thus this game is hard to pick because this Chargers team is not as talented as in years past while the Raiders have been playing poorly after a strong start. I think that Phillip Rivers will repeat last week's impressive performance, for the most part, against the Raiders' mediocre secondary and lead the Bolts to victory.
Chargers 27 Raiders 21

Nov. 13
St. Louis Rams at Cleveland Browns (Fox, 1:00)
I always love to pick these types of games with two pretty substandard teams. I would not expect too many points as these two teams are likely to pound the ground against the mediocre run defenses of their opponent. Expect a big game from Steven Jackson, who will prove the difference for St. Louis.
Rams 10 Browns 6

Washington Redskins at Miami Dolphins (Fox, 1:00)
Should anybody be surprised that this Dolphins club is actually going for the victories rather than all out suck for Andrew Luck? Tony Sparano won't be around to reap the benefits if the team acquired Luck, is out to prove he could still coach so he could try for a head gig down the line, and wouldn't he be out to screw the Dolphins after they've screwed with him? That said, I think Miami will win again because Washington quite can't score and John Beck is still awful.
Dolphins 13 Redskins 9

Arizona Cardinals at Philadelphia Eagles (Fox, 1:00)
With a disappointing performance against the Bears on Monday evening, the Eagles' playoff chances are pretty much shot and they are probably going to have to run the table to have a chance. Fortunately for them, they do get a bad Cardinals club to feast on for this week. The Arizona defense has nothing for the gratuitous amount of speed on the Philadelphia.
Eagles 31 Cardinals 13

New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons (Fox, 1:00)
Now the Falcons are coming off an impressive victory over the Colts, but who hasn't crushed the Colts one way or another? Matt Ryan has been pretty inconsistent all season and has not made my prediction of them winning the Super Bowl look good at all. Meanwhile Drew Brees and the Saints have been pretty impressive offensively all year. No reason to see them slowing down just yet.
Saints 32 Falcons 24

Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts (CBS, 1:00)
Is there a reason for me to pick the Colts this week? Probably not, not with how this team has been a failure in all phases of football this year. But alas, this Jaguars team is punchless and these two teams always play each other close, no matter how much better on side is than the other. I think 0-16 will be out of play.
Colts 6 Jaguars 3

Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs (CBS, 1:00)
Another fun AFC West matchup to pick. Just a week after getting a big win to tie for the lead in the AFC West, Kansas City laid a massive egg getting shellacked by the previously winless Dolphins. Meanwhile the Broncos continue to kick ass running the football, led by "superstar" quarterback Tim Tebow (seriously, someone told me he is a superstar) and the rejuvenated Willis McGahee.  The Chiefs are towards the bottom of the NFL in stopping the run and I don't think thye'll have much success doing so come Sunday.
Broncos 19 Chiefs 14

Tennessee Titans at Carolina Panthers (CBS, 1:00)
Chris Johnson still has not gotten back to his old self, averaging a very mediocre 3.0 yards per carry on the season. His poor performance has caused the Titans offense to be placed in the hands of veteran quarterback Matt Hasselbeck, who has been very impressive on the year. The Panthers defense has struggled on the year and while rookie phenom Cam Newton has been breathtakingly impressive, I think that Hasselbeck has the edge.
Titans 24 Panthers 20

Houston Texans at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (CBS, 1:00)
It looks like the Texans have a complete team this year. Matt Schaub has been solid, keeping in mind the absence of Andre Johnson for a few weeks, both Arian Foster and Ben Tate have been fantastic running the football, and Wade Phillips has proven himself again to be the defensive guru as the Texans right now have the top defense statistically in football. The Buccaneers' offense has been relatively average all year so a lot of pressure will be on Josh Freeman and I don't think he'll be able to get the victory.
Texans 30 Buccaneers 20

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals (CBS, 1:00)
There are still many doubters of this Bengals team that currently sits tied in first place in the AFC North. Andy Dalton has been solid, A.J. Green has been awesome, and the defense has been tremendous. That said, this is their first major test to prove their staying power with a Steelers club coming off a disappointing last minute loss to Baltimore. I don't see this Steelers team losing two in a row.
Steelers 18 Bengals 12

Buffalo Bills at Dallas Cowboys (CBS, 1:00)
The Buffalo offense, which has looked very impressive this year, has really sputtered of late and it showed as they got beaten down by the New York Jets last week. The Cowboys defense has been much improved this year and they appear to have found the playmaker they've needed at running back in DeMarco Murray. I like them in a close one.
Cowboys 21 Bills 18

Baltimore Ravens at Seattle Seahawks (CBS, 4:05)
Joe Flacco stepped up big time on Sunday night as he led the Ravens to an impressive last minute victory by calming and coolly leading a long drive late. And now after that impressive victory they get to take on a very weak Seahawks team that has no offense whatsoever. I like the Ravens as my Lock of the Week.
Ravens 27 Seahawks 3

Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears (Fox, 4:15)
This turned into a very important game not just for bragging rights but for wild card positioning in the NFC after the Bears' impressive showing against Philadelphia on MNF. Jay Cutler showed a lot of poise and Matt Forte did his thing that he has been doing so well all season long. The question is can the Bears force the Lions offense to have the run the ball by slowing down their passing offense and I think they can do that. This should be a classic black and blue matchup.
Bears 26 Lions 20

New York Giants at San Francisco 49ers (Fox, 4:15)
Two of the best clubs in the NFC face off at Candlestick in a game which could play a major part in seeding come playoff time. No one will deny how impressive Eli Manning looked on Sunday against New England but I think that the injury woes of Ahmad Bradshaw will hurt them as they won't be able to get much from the ground game. I think that Alex Smith will play a smart game yet again and that Frank Gore will continue to kick ass and take names running the football.
49ers 17 Giants 14

New England Patriots at New York Jets (NBC, 8:20)
Now you would think that I would lean towards the Jets. New York is currently riding a three game winning streak, including an impressive defeat of Buffalo in Orchard Park on Sunday. Meanwhile, New England has lost two in a row, the most recent one to the Giants a killer due to how Eli Manning led a last minute drive. But how often do the Patriots lose three in a row? I think Bill Belichick will turn this thing around starting this week.
Patriots 23 Jets 21

Nov. 14
Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers (ESPN, 8:30)
We saw the first time these rivals met in the year that Christian Ponder was pretty solid throwing the pigskin and that pretty much nobody can stop Adrian Peterson when he gets going. But with Aaron Rodgers playing so out of his mind right now, I don't think anyone can stop him.
Packers 31 Vikings 23
Time for arrogance:

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