18 October 2011

2011 NFL Week 7 Picks

We're going international this week as we've got the Bears and the Buccaneers duking it out in London over some tea and crumpets. Football too. No London Silly Nannies unfortunately. 
Well after my mediocre British jokes, here are my week 7 picks. 
Last Week: 9-4
2011: 56-34

Sunday, Oct. 23
Seattle Seahawks at Cleveland Browns (Fox, 1:00)
It's looking that as of right now it will be Charlie Whitehurst under center for the Seahawks on Sunday. And he did play well against the Giants two weeks ago and the club has been having success in the no huddle offense. But their offense as a whole has been very mediocre this year and the Browns defense has been solid. I don't expect very many points but I think the Browns defense will be the difference here. 
Browns 6 Seahawks 3

Washington Redskins at Carolina Panthers (Fox, 1:00)
All year the Redskins have been better than Carolina. But there is a legitimate quarterback controversy and with less than appealing options for coach Mike Shanahan. Either he goes with his regular Rex Grossman, who was god awful against Philadelphia, or he could go with John Beck, who looked better in relief but is not exactly a shining star either. Either quarterback will have plenty of opportunities to do well in the air because Carolina's pass defense is so bad but one of them will make a crucial mistake and rookie phenom Cam Newton will make them pay. 
Panthers 20 Redskins 11

Atlanta Falcons at Detroit Lions (Fox, 1:00)
This is a pretty tough game for me to pick as the team that has looked much better all year (Detroit) is coming off a tough loss to a quality 49ers club while the other team is coming off a nice victory over the Panthers. The Falcons will find some success running the football with Michael Turner but I don't think they will be able to throw it well as I think Matt Ryan will be under duress the whole game. Plus I think that Matt Stafford and Calvin Johnson will start hooking up for more touchdowns after last week's end zone shutout of Johnson by San Francisco.
Lions 31 Falcons 23

Chicago Bears at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Fox, 1:00)
In the aforementioned London showdown, we got two clubs coming off promising victories; Chicago over Minnesota and Tampa Bay over New Orleans. Josh Freeman easily had his best game of the season last week and I think he can duplicate that kind of performance against the subpar Bears pass defense. Jay Cutler won't go down easily though.
Buccaneers 21 Bears 18

Denver Broncos at Miami Dolphins (CBS, 1:00)
Well Matt Moore basically played like everyone thought he would...not good at all. And I've got no reason to have any confidence in him and the Dolphins at all, their offense is just so bad. Meanwhile for the Broncos, their offense is very good either but Tim Tebow is such a competitor and a playmaker that he'll give the Orange Crush (at least not officially for another year) the victory.
Broncos 10 Dolphins 5

Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans (CBS, 1:00)
This is actually a matchup of two of the better defenses in football with the Titans 9th in total defense and the Texans 10th. And thus I think this will be a lower scoring game than you would think, but this will not be a defensive struggle. The Texans offense has been average though without Andre Johnson and while it did appear that he might play last week, he didn't and doctors have said he could miss up to four more weeks despite the fact he says he's ahead of schedule. I think that the Titans will ride Chris Johnson, who appears to be getting his groove back a la Stella, to victory.
Titans 24 Texans 21

San Diego Chargers at New York Jets (CBS, 1:00)
The Jets got a much needed victory on Monday night but by no means were they impressive. The offense was pretty mediocre throughout and while the defense was the key, especially an 100 pick six by Darrelle Revis, they were playing a god awful Dolphins offense. The Chargers have a far superior offense (currently ranked 6th in the league) plus a very good defense in their own right (currently 4th in the league). Rex Ryan will have his club ready to play but I don't think Mark Sanchez can compete with Phil Rivers.
Chargers 27 Jets 22

Kansas City Chiefs at Oakland Raiders (CBS, 4:05)
The Raiders just made a bold move in trading for Carson Palmer but do not bank on him looking like his old self just yet (if at all) due to being force fed an offense in less than a week. But the Raiders will be carried by their running game against the subpar Chiefs rush defense and I expect Darren McFadden to have a big game, regardless if Palmer is sharp or not.
Raiders 17 Chiefs 9

St. Louis Rams at Dallas Cowboys (Fox, 4:15)
We saw some offensive life last week from Sam Bradford and Steven Jackson but the Rams really struggled to put points on the board. Plus they not they've got the Cowboys defense to deal with and coordinator Rob Ryan has really upgraded that unit. I've thought about picking St. Louis with the upset but I just can't do it. Tony Romo will have a big game for Dallas. 
Cowboys 30 Rams 13

Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings (Fox, 4:15)
Well it's officially time to Ponder in Minnesota as the Vikings have finally pulled the plug on Donovan McNabb and have installed first round pick Christian Ponder as their starting quarterback. And he may do better than you think he would because the Packers do give up yards in the air. Of course, they will also send Clay Matthews and crew after him so he'll get hit a ton. The Vikings defense is ehh so Aaron Rodgers should have yet another field day.
Packers 35 Vikings 14

Indianapolis Colts at New Orleans Saints (NBC, 8:30)
You know how much Curtis Painter has been better than I'd thought he'd be (I had no expectations for him at all). But that's about all you can say about this Colts club as they have been bad as you could imagine sans Peyton Manning. And with this Saints team coming off a tough loss against Tampa Bay? They are my Lock of the Week.
Saints 30 Colts 7

Baltimore Ravens at Jacksonville Jaguars (ESPN, 8:30)
I came pretty close to making the Ravens my lock this week. They look like a complete club as Joe Flacco has been throwing it well, Ray Rice has been running it well, and their defense has been tremendous as usual. The Jaguars have been terrible on offense and while Blaine Gabbert has shown some flashes, he may get killed by this Baltimore defense.
Ravens 27 Jaguars 3

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