11 October 2011

2011 NFL Week 6 Picks

Well the NFL season keeps on choogling and we have now hit the sixth week. And if you told me that arguably the best game of the week is 49ers-Lions before the season, I would not have believed you for a second (well at least nobody thought San Francisco would be good). Anyways before I start to offend people, here are my week six game predictions.
Last Week: 9-4
2011: 47-30

Sunday, October 16
Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons (Fox, 1:00)
The Falcons looked impressive early against the Packers on SNF but then just completely fell apart. They are absolutely vulnerable this week against Cam Newton and the Panthers. But the Panthers have really struggled on defense all season and I think that Matt Ryan and Michael Turner will have solid performances as Atlanta gets back on track.
Falcons 27 Panthers 21

St. Louis Rams at Green Bay Packers (Fox, 1:00)
This Packers team is just so good. Aaron Rodgers and the offense has been awesome all year and now the defense is coming into form with two solid performances in a row. Meanwhile the Rams look completely listless, Sam Bradford has been very inconsistent and Steven Jackson has not be producing. Green Bay takes this bad boy with ease. 
Packers 42 Rams 15

San Francisco 49ers at Detroit Lions (Fox, 1:00)
You know I have been very impressed and surprised with how good the 49ers have played in 2011. Alex Smith looks like an actual NFL quarterback and Jim Harbaugh have proven he's a hell of a coach. But this Lions team is really, really good. The Stafford-Johnson connection cannot be stopped by anyone and the Lions' ferocious defensive line shouldn't have any problems rattling Smith. 
Lions 35 49ers 24

Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Redskins (Fox, 1:00)
I have no reason to pick the Eagles this week. They have been so disappointing all season and their fundamentals have been really lacking all year. Meanwhile the Redskins have been really surprised this year as  they sit in first place. But I think that Andy Reid will pull out a solid performance out of his ass and I'm liking the Eagles this week.
Eagles 17 Redskins 13

Indianapolis Colts at Cincinnati Bengals (CBS, 1:00)
There are many things I thought I would never see in my lifetime. Curtis Painter looking competant was one of them and he has formed a solid pairing with Pierre Garcon, connecting on some long touchdown passes the last two weeks. But he's got a tough matchup this week in the top defense in football in Mike Zimmer's unit in Cincinnati. I don't think Painter will play as well as he has the last two weeks and I think Andy Dalton and co. will come out on top.
Bengals 10 Colts 6

Jacksonville Jaguars at Pittsburgh Steelers (CBS, 1:00)
The Steelers are coming off a needed dominant performance against the Tennessee Titans, in which Ben Roethlisberger threw for five touchdown passes and the club got the running game going as well. Their defense should have no problem rattling the rookie Blaine Gabbert and the Jaguars' woebegone offense. The Steelers are my Lock of the Week.
Steelers 27 Jaguars 3

Buffalo Bills at New York Giants (CBS, 1:00)
In my mind, the Giants are such an inconsistent team. They play well one week then drop a turd at home against Seattle. Meanwhile, this Bills club is getting the job done on offense and on defense. Their defense in particular led them to victory last week by forcing a boatload of Philadelphia turnovers and I think they will do the same this week in the Meadowlands. Also the Giants have been subpar stopping the run of late so I think Fred Jackson will have another solid performance.
Bills 30 Giants 22

Cleveland Browns at Oakland Raiders (CBS, 4:05)
Hue Jackson has continued his quality work with the Raiders offense this year, being carried by star running back Darren McFadden and the steady arm of Jason Campbell, and the team right now is 9th in total offense. I think their offense will carry them to the victory over a Browns offense, despite the best efforts of Colt McCoy, has stagnated relatively often this year.
Raiders 24 Browns 11

Houston Texans at Baltimore Ravens (CBS, 4:05)
Matt Schaub put up nice numbers last week but you could tell that he really was missing Andre Johnson, especially as they had one last chance at the end zone from inside the ten. If Johnson was a confirmed go then I would more strongly consider Houston (he could still play on Sunday if he practices this week but I am no injury expert) but I have to lean towards this strong Baltimore club, that has played well all year with the exception of the game against Tennessee.
Ravens 28 Texans 17

New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Fox, 4:15)
Now I like this Buccaneers club a lot and I've long been a fan of Josh Freeman. But this team just got utterly thrashed at Candlestick Park last week, losing by 45 to San Francisco. Now they may say their confidence is not shaken but anytime you lose by more than six touchdowns, it clearly has an effect. Now they've got the Saints coming to town and they've been rolling sine falling in the season opener to New Orleans. Tampa will play better but will come up shy.
Saints 38 Buccaneers 27

Dallas Cowboys at New England Patriots (Fox, 4:15)
You know I just realized that Dallas' defense is actually pretty good, ranking in the top five in the league. But that doesn't matter because this is going to be a shootout and a matchup of two quality quarterbacks in Tony Romo and Tom Brady. And I think it's going to come down to one final drive by Brady for victory and he'll come through.
Patriots 49 Cowboys 42

Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears (NBC, 8:20)
This Bears team is essentially the same team that went to the NFC Championship Game last year and came very close to reaching the Super Bowl. And yet they look so mediocre, mostly because a bad offensive line appears to have gotten worse. The Vikings defensive line is a shell of what it once was but they still have Jared Allen and I don't see the Bears tackles shutting him down. The Bears defense has also looked really vulnerable all year so I think Adrian Peterson will have a field day as well.
Vikings 13 Bears 9

Monday, October 17
Miami Dolphins at New York Jets (ESPN, 8:30)
The Jets have certainly not played to expectations thus far this year. The defense has not been great, Mark Sanchez has been inconsistent and the running game has been hit or miss. But this Dolphins club is starting Matt Moore as Chad Henne is out for the season. And if he struggles we may see Sage Rosenfels too. So yeah, I'm taking the Jets.
Jets 20 Dolphins 3

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