04 October 2011

2011 NFL Week 5 Picks

It is week 5 in the 2011 NFL season and it is highlighted by the Detroit Lions making their first primetime TV appearance in a while. But it is a team that rising star quarterback Matthew Stafford does not have fond memories of as the last time he played the Chicago Bears, he got injured. But what will happen this time around.
It's time for my week 5 predictions.
Last Week: 10-6 
2011: 38-26 

October 9th
Cincinnati Bengals at Jacksonville Jaguars (CBS, 1:00)
In this battle of rookie quarterbacks, there is no question which rookie has looked better. Andy Dalton has been calm, cool and collected all year and has played very well thus far for Cincinnati. Meanwhile for Jacksonville, Blaine Gabbert has been eratic in his first two starts and the offense has sputtered. I think the difference maker will be Bengals tight end Jermaine Greshem as Jacksonville has struggled to defend tight ends.
Bengals 10 Jaguars 6

Kansas City Chiefs at Indianapolis Colts (CBS, 1:00)
Curtis Painter actually looked somewhat competent on Monday Night, throwing a pair of touchdowns and nearly leading the Colts to an upset of Tampa Bay. Meanwhile, the Chiefs are coming off their first win of the year but did not look all that impressive in doing do. I think this is the week the Colts get their first victory of the season.
Colts 17 Chiefs 13

Oakland Raiders at Houston Texans (CBS, 1:00)
The Texans are finally coming off that big win they have been craving for years, this time over the Pittsburgh Steelers. But as we've usually seen from this club, they are always prone for the let-down and I think that the let-down will come this week against Oakland and not having Andre Johnson hurts. Darren McFadden will be the first to successfully run with effectiveness against this Texans defense and Jason Campbell will make enough good decisions to give Oakland the upset.
Raiders 28 Texans 27

Tennessee Titans at Pittsburgh Steelers (CBS, 1:00)
The Titans have looked very good this year, led by Matt Hasselbeck who has been tremendous this year. And now last week Chris Johnson finally got rolling. But this Steelers club is coming off a really disappointing loss to Houston where their offensive line got ravaged. The Titans' pass rush is not that strong so I think Ben Roethlisberger will have some time to throw downfield.
Steelers 27 Titans 21

Arizona Cardinals at Minnesota Vikings (Fox, 1:00)
This isn't an easy game to pick because while the Vikings are 0-4 for a reason (mostly Donovan McNabb), the Cardinals defense is so bad it could give McNabb an opportunity to play well. But it's just too easy to bet against McNabb and crew right now and I think Kevin Kolb will have a strong performance and lead the Cards to victory.
Cardinals 17 Vikings 14

New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers (Fox, 1:00)
The Saints proved last week versus Jacksonville that they are not an easy matchup for a rookie quarterback. Now we've seen Cam Newton put up prodigious numbers all season but I do not think he will have great numbers against the Saints this week. Drew Brees will tear this Panthers defense apart.
Saints 35 Panthers 20

Philadlephia Eagles at Buffalo Bills (Fox, 1:00)
This Eagles team looks like a mess, having now choked away two straight games. Michael Vick played well last week but it was dumb decisions and poor pass defense that caused this team to blow the game last week. This Bills offense likes to spread the defense and that is what kills this Eagles secondary. I'm expecting this to be a high scorer but I'm liking Ryan Fitzpatrick's chances.
Bills 42 Eagles 38

Seattle Seahawks at New York Giants (Fox, 1:00)
Remember how everyone was down on this Giants team at the start of the year. Well Eli Manning has engineered a couple of comebacks and bam, they're 3-1. This Seahawks team has looked a little better and Tarvaris Jackson has actually looked like an NFL quarterback of late but I'm putting my chips firmly on the Giants' side. New York is my Lock of the Week.
Giants 27 Seahawks 5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at San Francisco 49ers (Fox, 4:05)
Jim Harbaugh has this 49ers team, who pretty much nobody thought they would be good this year (including myself), playing with confidence and this team is high after coming back to defeat the Eagles. Hell, Alex Smith is playing well. I'm a big fan of Josh Freeman and this Bucs team but I think the 49ers will pull this one out because this team is playing really well right now.
49ers 20 Buccaneers 14

San Diego Chargers at Denver Broncos (CBS, 4:15)
I've actually thought about picking the Broncos here, this would be a game that San Diego would lose. Ultimately I've decided not to go this route since this Chargers team is really much better than this Broncos team is. But this game will be close in my opinion and don't be surprised if Denver is the victor.
Chargers 31 Broncos 27

New York Jets at New England Patriots (CBS, 4:15)
The Jets looked absolutely pitiful on SNF against Baltimore as their offensive line was god awful and Mark Sanchez was playing with no confidence. Most, if not all, will be picking Tom Brady and friends this week but this is the type of game that Rex Ryan's crew wins under the radar. I think Ryan will have this crew ready to play and I'm thinking Sanchez will have a strong game.
Jets 26 Patriots 24

Green Bay Packers at Atlanta Falcons (NBC, 8:20)
I've been very disappointed with how Atlanta has played this year and they are making my Super Bowl pick look really awful. Meanwhile the Packers are cranking right now and Aaron Rodgers is looking better than ever. I think Matt Ryan will play well since the Green Bay pass defense has sucked this year but I've got to go with my Pack.
Packers 38 Falcons 28

October 10th
Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions (ESPN, 8:30)
This Lions team is playing with so much confidence right now as they are undefeated, 4-0. Matthew Stafford and Calvin Johnson are making beautiful music together and have been unstoppable this year. This Bears defense will give them a little trouble but I don't think the Bears offense can keep up with Detroit.
Lions 30 Bears 21

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