03 September 2011

Could Brad Keselowski Win the Chase?

No driver has been hotter over the last four races in the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series than Brad Keselowski. He has not finished lower than third in any of the four races and has won twice. All of this with a broken ankle and he has jumped ten spots in the points standings. But could he actually win the series title?
Keselowski has really made strides this season, his second with Penske Racing, but his recent hot streak has been awesome. Not only has he finished on the podium in the last four races but he has done it at four different styles of track, a flat track (Pocono, 1st), a road course (Watkins Glen, 2nd)), an intermediate track (Michigan, 3rd) and a short track (Bristol, 1st). The most important indicator of how he could do in the Chase is at the intermediate tracks, which make up half of the Chase races. One of his three wins this season came at an intermediate but that was due to fuel strategy. Besides the win at Kansas and his third at Michigan, he has top tens at Darlington (3rd) and Kentucky (7th). I'm not sure he has the consistency needed to run well at these tracks in the Chase.
I think another potential factor in how well he runs in the Chase is the fact that he has another teammate in the Chase in Kurt Busch, a former champion who looks to be capable of a title run this year. Penske has great equipment but would they give the better equipment to Busch for Penske's first Sprint Cup title?
Anything can and probably will happen in the Chase for the Sprint Cup but I don't think Brad K. is really just yet.

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