I'm gonna take a short break from the sporting world and dish out my predictions for the 2011 Oscars. While I'm no Roger Ebert (although even I'm better than Ben Lyons), I am somewhat a movie buff so I decided to take a stab at predicting who will bring home the hardware this Sunday. So here are the nominees and my pick will be in bold:
Best Motion Picture of the Year Black Swan The Fighter Inception The Kids are All Right The King's Speech The Social Network 127 Hours Toy Story 3 True Grit Winter's Bone
-Even though The King's Speech is the favorite, I believe that since they are winning a couple of major awards in Best Actor and Best Director, I think The Social Network will pull off the surprise win.
Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role Annette Bening (The Kids are All Right) Nicole Kidman (Rabbit Hole) Jennifer Lawrence (Winter's Bone) Natalie Portman (Black Swan) Michelle Williams (Blue Valentine)
-This is just a mortal lock in my opinion. Portman was just so good in Black Swan but then again, I'm no film expert.
Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role Javier Bardem (Biutiful) Jesse Eisenberg (The Social Network) Colin Firth (The King's Speech) James Franco (127 Hours) Jeff Bridges (True Grit)
-Franco will give it a go but nobody is stopping Firth.
Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role Christian Bale (The Fighter) John Hawkes (Winter's Bone) Jeremy Renner (The Town) Mark Ruffalo (The Kids are All Right) Geoffrey Rush (The King's Speech)
-I've heard that Rush really drove The King's Speech and that Hawkes was brilliant in Winter's Bone but Bale is the favorite and I really don't think he won't win. He was fantastic as Dicky Eklund.
Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role Amy Adams (The Fighter) Helena Bonham Carter (The King's Speech) Melissa Leo (The Fighter) Hailee Steinfeld (True Grit) Jacki Weaver (Animal Kingdom)
-The consensus favorite is Melissa Leo due to the fact that she has won most of the awards this awards season and she was great in The Fighter. But I think that Amy Adams will help to split the vote due to her strong performance and that will be enough to swing the vote to Steinfeld, who really should have been nominated for Best Actress. Again, I'm not an expert but this is a category where you see upsets.
Best Animated Feature Film of the Year How to Train Your Dragon The Illusionist Toy Story 3
-The Pixar train keeps on steamrolling the competition.
Best Documentary Short Subject Killing in the Name Poster Girl Strangers No More Sun Come Up The Warriors of Qiugang
Best Short Film (Animated) Day & Night (Teddy Newton) The Gruffalo (Jakob Schuh and Max Lang) Let's Pollute (Geefwee Boedoe) The Lost Thing (Shaun Tan and Andrew Ruhemann) Madagascar, carnet de voyage (Madagascar, a Journey Diary) (Bastien Dubois)
Best Short Film (Live Action) The Confession (Tanel Toom) The Crush (Michael Creagh) God of Love (Luke Matheny) Na Wewe (Ivan Goldschmidt) Wish 143 (Ian Barnes and Samantha Waite)
Achievement in Art Direction Alice in Wonderland Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1 Inception The King's Speech True Grit
Achievement in Cinematography Black Swan (Matthew Libatique) Inception (Wally Pfister) The King's Speech (Danny Cohen) The Social Network (Jeff Cronenweth) True Grit (Roger Deakins)
Achievement in Costume Design Alice in Wonderland (Colleen Atwood) I Am Love (Antonella Cannarozzi) The King's Speech (Jenny Beaven) The Tempest (Sandy Powell) True Grit (Mary Zophres)
Achievement in Directing Darren Aronofsky (Black Swan) David O. Russell (The Fighter) Tom Hooper (The King's Speech) David Fincher (The Social Network) Joel and Ethan Coen (True Grit)
-Yes I know Fincher is the favorite and he did an awesome job, but it is very hard to vote against the winner of the Directors Guild Award.
Best Documentary Feature Exit through the Gift Shop Banksy, director (Paranoid Pictures) Gasland Josh Fox, director (Gasland Productions, LLC) Inside Job Charles Ferguson, director (Representational Pictures) Restrepo Tim Hetherington and Sebastian Junger, directors (Outpost Films) Waste Land Lucy Walker, director (Almega Projects)
Achievement in Makeup Barney's Version The Way Back The Wolfman
Achievement in Film Editing Black Swan (Andrew Weisblum) The Fighter (Pamela Martin) The King's Speech (Tariq Anwar) 127 Hours (Jon Harris) The Social Network (Kirk Baxter and Angus Wall)
Best Foreign Language Film of the Year Biutiful (Mexico) Dogtooth (Greece) In a Better World (Denmark) Incendies (Canada) Hors la Loi (Algeria)
Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures (Original Score) How to Train Your Dragon (John Powell) Inception (Hans Zimmer) The King's Speech (Alexandre Desplat) 127 Hours (A.R. Rahman) The Social Network (Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross)
Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures (Original Song) "Coming Home" from Country Strong Music and Lyric by Tom Douglas, Troy Verges and Hillary Lindsey "I See the Light" from Tangled Music and Lyric by Alan Menken Lyric by Glenn Slater "If I Rise" from 127 Hours Music by A.R. Rahman Lyric by Dido and Rollo Armstrong "We Belong Together" from Toy Story 3 Music and Lyric by Randy Newman
Achievement in Sound Editing Inception Toy Story 3 TRON: Legacy True Grit Unstoppable
Achievement in Sound Mixing Inception The King's Speech Salt The Social Network True Grit
Achievement in Visual Effects Alice in Wonderland Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 1 Hereafter Inception Iron Man 2
Adapted Screenplay 127 Hours (Simon Beaufoy and Danny Boyle) The Social Network (Aaron Sorkin) Toy Story 3 (Michael Arndt, story by John Lasseter, Andrew Stanton and Lee Unkrich) True Grit (Joel Coen and Ethan Coen) Winter's Bone (Debra Granik and Anne Rossellini)
-Aaron Sorkin is one of my favorite writers in Hollywood and he put together another fantastic script based off what I heard is a pretty good book, The Accidental Millionaires.
Original Screenplay Another Year (Mike Leigh) The Fighter (Paul Attanasio, Lewis Colich, Eric Johnson, Scott Silverand Paul Tamasy) Inception (Christopher Nolan) The Kids are All Right (Stuart Blumberg and Lisa Cholodenko) The King's Speech (David Seidler)
-While I do think The Kids Are All Right could give it a run for its money, I'd be stunned if The King's Speech does not win.
If you disagree with any of my picks, just post a comment below.